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Somorrostro vs Real Sociedad C

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 game between Somorrostro and Real Sociedad C finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Sociedad C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Somorrostro
20%
Draws
45%
Real Sociedad C
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Sociedad C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Sociedad C come out ahead of Somorrostro on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Somorrostro Clean Sheet 25%
Real Sociedad C Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somorrostro Real Sociedad C
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 20
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.23 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Somorrostro vs Real Sociedad C
1:2
Dec 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Real Sociedad C vs Somorrostro
5:2
May 3, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Real Sociedad C vs Somorrostro
0:0
Dec 15, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Somorrostro vs Real Sociedad C
3:0
Mar 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Somorrostro vs Real Sociedad C
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somorrostro 33 / 100
Real Sociedad C 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somorrostro Real Sociedad C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Sociedad C Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Somorrostro scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Somorrostro has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Real Sociedad C has conceded goals in 55% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Real Sociedad C
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Somorrostro

(Home)
29 Aug
Santurtzi
1 : 3
Somorrostro
12 Jun
Sodupe
1 : 3
Somorrostro
05 Jun
Somorrostro
1 : 1
CD Ariznabarra
29 May
Lagun Onak
2 : 1
Somorrostro
22 May
Somorrostro
3 : 0
Santurtzi
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Real Sociedad C

(Away)
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
05 Sept
Derio
0 : 0
Real Sociedad C
15 Aug
Real Sociedad C
3 : 0
Subiza
09 May
Anorga
1 : 2
Real Sociedad C
03 May
Real Sociedad C
4 : 0
SCD Durango
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gernika Club 20 13 4 3 39:16 43
2 Real Sociedad C 20 12 4 4 48:27 40
3 Sestao 20 12 3 5 40:13 39
4 SD Deusto 20 11 3 6 30:24 36
5 Santutxu FC 20 8 5 7 20:23 29
6 Beasain 20 6 9 5 20:14 27
7 Tolosa 20 6 6 8 21:26 24
8 Aurrera Ondarroa 20 5 5 10 23:31 20
9 Balmaseda 20 3 9 8 22:27 18
10 Somorrostro 20 4 5 11 20:31 17
11 Urgatzi 20 3 1 16 11:62 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Vitoria 20 9 8 3 20:4 35
2 Urduliz FT 20 9 8 3 28:18 35
3 Pasaia 20 9 7 4 22:14 34
4 Basconia 20 7 9 4 24:15 30
5 Anaitasuna FT 20 7 9 4 20:19 30
6 San Ignacio 20 7 8 5 19:19 29
7 Santurtzi 20 6 5 9 18:27 23
8 SCD Durango 20 5 7 8 17:20 22
9 Sodupe 20 4 8 8 21:23 20
10 CD Ariznabarra 20 3 7 10 12:28 16
11 Lagun Onak 20 3 6 11 17:31 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)