Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Somorrostro vs Sodupe

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Somorrostro
20%
Draws
40%
Sodupe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Somorrostro at 1.23 per game, Sodupe at 1.18.
  • Win probability leans Somorrostro's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Somorrostro Clean Sheet 68%
Sodupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somorrostro Sodupe
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.23 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Somorrostro
1:3
May 9, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Somorrostro vs Sodupe
2:2
Mar 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Somorrostro
0:0
Oct 26, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Somorrostro vs Sodupe
0:0
Feb 9, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Somorrostro vs Sodupe
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somorrostro 68 / 100
Sodupe 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somorrostro Sodupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Somorrostro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Somorrostro found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Sodupe let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Somorrostro went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Somorrostro VS Sodupe
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Somorrostro

(Home)
29 Aug
Santurtzi
1 : 3
Somorrostro
12 Jun
Sodupe
1 : 3
Somorrostro
05 Jun
Somorrostro
1 : 1
CD Ariznabarra
29 May
Lagun Onak
2 : 1
Somorrostro
22 May
Somorrostro
3 : 0
Santurtzi
Page 1 of 6

Sodupe

(Away)
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1
Eibar C
06 Sept
Real Union B
0 : 2
Sodupe
12 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 2
Sodupe
12 Jun
Sodupe
1 : 3
Somorrostro
05 Jun
Urgatzi
1 : 2
Sodupe
Page 1 of 6