Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Somozas vs Barco

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Cambon J.

AI Match Summary

Somozas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Somozas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Somozas
11%
Draws
9%
Barco
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Somozas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Barco at 1.25 per game, Somozas at 0.88.
  • Model gives Somozas a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Somozas Clean Sheet 68%
Barco Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somozas Barco
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs Somozas
1:2
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Barco
1:0
Mar 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Barco
2:1
Dec 4, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs Somozas
0:0
May 1, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Barco
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Somozas Compare

Top Goalscorer Cambon J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Barco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somozas 86 / 100
Barco 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somozas Barco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Somozas's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Barco let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Somozas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Somozas VS Barco
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Somozas

(Home)
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
26 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Compostela
19 Apr
Estradense
2 : 1
Somozas
12 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Viveiro
Page 1 of 6

Barco

(Away)
10 May
Estradense
3 : 1
Barco
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
26 Apr
Montaneros
0 : 0
Barco
19 Apr
Barco
0 : 1
Arosa SC
11 Apr
Atletico Arteixo
5 : 1
Barco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arosa SC342010458:3570
2Compostela341911455:2868
3Atletico Arteixo341610854:4458
4Estradense341411946:3353
5Racing Club Villalbes341313836:2952
6Gran Pena341312957:4251
7Somozas341312937:3251
8CD Boiro341312945:2951
9Lugo B3412121041:3548
10Montaneros3412121048:4248
11Barco341371435:4146
12Alondras341291345:4845
13Celtiga341171647:4840
14Viveiro349111427:4138
15Silva SD34991636:4836
16Cambados344141624:4326
17Noia34672128:5725
18Barbadas-Bentraces34472325:6919
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)