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Somozas vs Barco

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Cambon J.

AI Match Summary

Somozas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Somozas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Somozas
30%
Draws
23%
Barco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Somozas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Barco lately — more wins on the board than Somozas.
  • Model gives Somozas a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Somozas Clean Sheet 68%
Barco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somozas Barco
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 11 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs Somozas
1:2
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Barco
1:0
Mar 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Barco
2:1
Dec 4, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs Somozas
0:0
May 1, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Barco
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Somozas Compare

Top Goalscorer Cambon J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Barco Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somozas 77 / 100
Barco 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somozas Barco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Somozas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Somozas's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Somozas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Barco has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Somozas VS Barco
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Somozas

(Home)
13 Sept
Lalin
1 : 0
Somozas
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
26 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Compostela
Page 1 of 6

Barco

(Away)
12 Sept
Barco
1 : 2
Silva SD
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Barco
19 Aug
UD Ourense
2 : 0
Barco
10 May
Estradense
3 : 1
Barco
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)