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Somozas vs Montaneros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Somozas host Montaneros in the Tercera RFEF - Group 1. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Somozas at 1.15 goals for, 1.06 against; Montaneros at 1.45 for, 1.34 against. Past meetings favor Montaneros slightly — 0-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.25, favoring Montaneros. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Somozas
20%
Draws
30%
Montaneros
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Somozas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Montaneros haven't matched Somozas's recent run of results.
  • Somozas are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Montaneros have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Somozas Clean Sheet 19%
Montaneros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somozas Montaneros
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.15 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Montaneros
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Montaneros vs Somozas
1:0
May 16, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Montaneros
0:1
Jan 10, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Montaneros vs Somozas
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somozas 40 / 100
Montaneros 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somozas Montaneros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Somozas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Somozas found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Montaneros conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Somozas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Somozas VS Montaneros
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Somozas

(Home)
10 Oct
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 2
Somozas
04 Oct
Somozas
2 : 1
Sarriana
26 Sept
Antela
1 : 0
Somozas
20 Sept
Somozas
1 : 1
Pontevedra B
13 Sept
Lalin
1 : 0
Somozas
Page 1 of 7

Montaneros

(Away)
03 Oct
Alondras
0 : 1
Montaneros
27 Sept
Montaneros
1 : 2
Viveiro
20 Sept
Estradense
3 : 1
Montaneros
13 Sept
Montaneros
2 : 3
Racing Club Villalbes
06 Sept
CD Boiro
3 : 2
Montaneros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
2 Barco 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
3 Lalin 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
4 Antela 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
5 Sarriana 5 3 0 2 9:7 9
6 Racing Club Villalbes 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
7 Alondras 5 3 0 2 10:9 9
8 Pontevedra B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
9 Portonovo SD 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Gran Pena 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
11 Estradense 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
12 Celtiga 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Somozas 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
14 Atletico Arteixo 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
15 Silva SD 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
16 Viveiro 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
17 Arenteiro 5 1 0 4 4:7 3
18 Montaneros 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)