Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sona vs Olginatese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Ekuban T. A.
Own Goal
69' Event
Marchesini M.
75' Event
Bittaye L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 game between Sona and Olginatese finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sona
35%
Draws
32%
Olginatese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Sona carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Sona taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Sona Clean Sheet 18%
Olginatese Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sona Olginatese
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 8 8
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.91 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs Sona
1:2
Dec 19, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Olginatese
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sona Compare

Top Goalscorer Marchesini M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bittaye L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Olginatese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sona 36 / 100
Olginatese 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sona Olginatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Olginatese conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sona stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Sona scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Sona VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sona

(Home)
07 May
Ponte San Pietro
3 : 3
Sona
30 Apr
Sona
1 : 1
Real Calepina
23 Apr
Sona
3 : 2
Varesina
16 Apr
Seregno Calcio
3 : 1
Sona
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0
Caronnese
Page 1 of 7

Olginatese

(Away)
15 May
Olginatese
2 : 1
AC Leon
08 May
Villa Valle
0 : 1
Olginatese
01 May
Olginatese
1 : 2
Sona
27 Apr
Vis Nova Giussano
3 : 3
Olginatese
24 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 2
Franciacorta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sangiuliano City 38 25 7 6 81:39 82
2 Legnano 38 19 9 10 49:44 66
3 USD Casatese 38 17 13 8 70:44 64
4 Brusaporto 38 18 10 10 62:49 64
5 Folgore Caratese 38 18 9 11 57:46 63
6 Desenzano Calvina 38 17 12 9 65:49 63
7 Breno 38 16 10 12 56:43 58
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 15 13 10 66:56 58
9 Arconatese 38 15 12 11 62:58 57
10 Franciacorta 38 13 13 12 73:80 52
11 Crema 38 12 10 16 44:52 46
12 Castellanzese 38 12 10 16 50:55 46
13 Sona 38 11 12 15 43:56 45
14 Ponte San Pietro 38 10 14 14 54:56 44
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:39 44
16 Villa Valle 38 9 12 17 49:56 39
17 Caravaggio 38 7 16 15 41:62 37
18 Vis Nova Giussano 38 10 5 23 56:77 35
19 Olginatese 38 8 11 19 43:60 35
20 AC Leon 38 8 9 21 50:88 33
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Out)