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Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Kadiogo

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League 2025/2026 Stade de la SONABEL, Ouagadougou
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sonabel Ouagadougou
20%
Draws
46%
Kadiogo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kadiogo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Kadiogo have won more games recently than Sonabel Ouagadougou.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sonabel Ouagadougou have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Sonabel Ouagadougou Clean Sheet 25%
Kadiogo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sonabel Ouagadougou Kadiogo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 11 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.83 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Kadiogo
0:0
Oct 27, 2025 Premier League
Kadiogo vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
1:2
May 5, 2025 Premier League
Kadiogo vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
0:3
Oct 16, 2024 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Kadiogo
3:0
Feb 27, 2024 Premier League
Kadiogo vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sonabel Ouagadougou 33 / 100
Kadiogo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sonabel Ouagadougou Kadiogo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kadiogo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Sonabel Ouagadougou scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Kadiogo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Sonabel Ouagadougou stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sonabel Ouagadougou VS Kadiogo
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sonabel Ouagadougou

(Home)
18 Sept
Sonabel Ouagadougou
0 : 1
Majestic
10 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
1 : 0
ASFA Yennega
03 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0
ASF Dioulasso
26 Apr
AS Douanes
2 : 1
Sonabel Ouagadougou
18 Apr
Bobo-Dioulasso
1 : 0
Sonabel Ouagadougou
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Kadiogo

(Away)
20 Sept
Kadiogo
2 : 2
Vitesse
10 May
Kadiogo
3 : 0
Majestic
03 May
USFA
0 : 0
Kadiogo
27 Apr
Rahimo
2 : 0
Kadiogo
19 Apr
Kadiogo
4 : 1
Salitas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rahimo 30 20 9 1 47:15 69
2 USFA 30 12 13 5 31:17 49
3 Sporting Cascades 30 10 13 7 25:18 43
4 AS Douanes 30 10 13 7 29:29 43
5 Majestic 30 11 10 9 26:27 43
6 CFFEB 30 10 10 10 25:25 40
7 Salitas 30 10 10 10 29:31 40
8 Kadiogo 30 10 8 12 27:27 38
9 ASFA Yennega 30 9 11 10 24:28 38
10 Vitesse 30 9 10 11 25:25 37
11 Real Du Faso 30 9 10 11 21:23 37
12 ASF Dioulasso 30 9 10 11 25:31 37
13 Sonabel Ouagadougou 30 8 12 10 24:28 36
14 Etoile Filante 30 7 12 11 22:29 33
15 Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 9 15 11:28 27
16 AJE Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 8 16 27:37 26
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)