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Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Salitas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League 2025/2026 Stade de la SONABEL, Ouagadougou
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Josiah P. C.
Assist: Beao F.
90' Event
Bila A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Sonabel Ouagadougou
15%
Draws
37%
Salitas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sonabel Ouagadougou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Sonabel Ouagadougou haven't matched Salitas's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sonabel Ouagadougou's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Sonabel Ouagadougou Clean Sheet 68%
Salitas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sonabel Ouagadougou Salitas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.9 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Premier League
Salitas vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Salitas
1:1
Mar 14, 2025 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Salitas
3:2
Nov 23, 2024 Premier League
Salitas vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
0:1
Jun 6, 2024 Premier League
Salitas vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sonabel Ouagadougou Compare

Top Goalscorer Bila A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Salitas Compare

Top Goalscorer Josiah P. C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sonabel Ouagadougou 86 / 100
Salitas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sonabel Ouagadougou Salitas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sonabel Ouagadougou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sonabel Ouagadougou's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Salitas has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Sonabel Ouagadougou has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sonabel Ouagadougou VS Salitas
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sonabel Ouagadougou

(Home)
05 Oct
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0
US Comoe
26 Sept
FocuSport
3 : 2
Sonabel Ouagadougou
18 Sept
Sonabel Ouagadougou
0 : 1
Majestic
10 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
1 : 0
ASFA Yennega
03 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0
ASF Dioulasso
Page 1 of 6

Salitas

(Away)
02 Oct
Salitas
1 : 3
Real Du Faso
27 Sept
USFA
3 : 0
Salitas
20 Sept
Salitas
2 : 2
ASF Dioulasso
10 May
Salitas
3 : 2
ASF Dioulasso
03 May
Salitas
2 : 1
AS Douanes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rahimo 30 20 9 1 47:15 69
2 USFA 30 12 13 5 31:17 49
3 Sporting Cascades 30 10 13 7 25:18 43
4 AS Douanes 30 10 13 7 29:29 43
5 Majestic 30 11 10 9 26:27 43
6 CFFEB 30 10 10 10 25:25 40
7 Salitas 30 10 10 10 29:31 40
8 Kadiogo 30 10 8 12 27:27 38
9 ASFA Yennega 30 9 11 10 24:28 38
10 Vitesse 30 9 10 11 25:25 37
11 Real Du Faso 30 9 10 11 21:23 37
12 ASF Dioulasso 30 9 10 11 25:31 37
13 Sonabel Ouagadougou 30 8 12 10 24:28 36
14 Etoile Filante 30 7 12 11 22:29 33
15 Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 9 15 11:28 27
16 AJE Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 8 16 27:37 26
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)