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Sonacos vs Diambars de Saly

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Chaw M.
45' Event
Souleymane P.
55' Event
Souleymane P.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2023/2024 game between Sonacos and Diambars de Saly finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sonacos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sonacos
30%
Draws
47%
Diambars de Saly
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Diambars de Saly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Sonacos have managed 0.74 goals a game lately — Diambars de Saly are scoring more at 0.9.
  • 23% — that's where the model lands on Sonacos taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Sonacos Clean Sheet 68%
Diambars de Saly Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sonacos Diambars de Saly
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 15 9
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.74 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Ligue 1
Sonacos vs Diambars de Saly
3:1
Jan 20, 2024 Ligue 1
Diambars de Saly vs Sonacos
2:2
May 13, 2023 Ligue 1
Sonacos vs Diambars de Saly
1:0
Dec 7, 2022 Ligue 1
Diambars de Saly vs Sonacos
2:1
Jun 3, 2018 Ligue 1
Diambars de Saly vs Sonacos
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sonacos Compare

Top Goalscorer Souleymane P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chaw M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Diambars de Saly Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sonacos 68 / 100
Diambars de Saly 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sonacos Diambars de Saly

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sonacos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Diambars de Saly conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Sonacos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Diambars de Saly lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sonacos VS Diambars de Saly
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sonacos

(Home)
04 Jun
Ouakam
2 : 1
Sonacos
22 May
Sonacos
0 : 0
ASC HLM
17 May
AS Camberene
1 : 1
Sonacos
13 May
Sonacos
0 : 3
Casa
10 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Sonacos
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Diambars de Saly

(Away)
12 Sept
Diambars de Saly
1 : 0
Zarzis
04 Sept
Zarzis
3 : 1
Diambars de Saly
08 Jun
Diambars de Saly
0 : 2
Generation Foot
26 May
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
7 : 2
Diambars de Saly
18 May
Diambars de Saly
2 : 1
Guediawaye
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 26 14 8 4 31:18 50
2 ASC Jaraaf 26 11 13 2 30:12 46
3 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 26 10 11 5 29:15 41
4 Guediawaye 26 9 13 4 27:23 40
5 Pikine 26 9 11 6 20:14 38
6 Sonacos 26 7 12 7 16:16 33
7 US Goree 26 7 11 8 15:17 32
8 Jamono Fatick 26 8 7 11 25:25 31
9 Linguere 26 6 13 7 13:17 31
10 Ouakam 26 7 9 10 22:25 30
11 Generation Foot 26 6 11 9 15:24 29
12 Casa 26 7 6 13 18:29 27
13 Mbour 26 3 14 9 17:25 23
14 Diambars de Saly 26 4 9 13 25:43 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)