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Sonacos vs Guediawaye

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Sonacos Logo

Sonacos

0 - 3
FT
Guediawaye Logo

Guediawaye

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guediawaye in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guediawaye.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sonacos
35%
Draws
37%
Guediawaye
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guediawaye

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guediawaye lately — more wins on the board than Sonacos.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Sonacos Clean Sheet 20%
Guediawaye Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sonacos Guediawaye
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 13 8
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.6 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 Ligue 1
Sonacos vs Guediawaye
0:3
Nov 30, 2025 Ligue 1
Guediawaye vs Sonacos
1:2
Mar 7, 2025 Ligue 1
Guediawaye vs Sonacos
1:0
Oct 27, 2024 Ligue 1
Sonacos vs Guediawaye
0:1
Jun 8, 2024 Ligue 1
Sonacos vs Guediawaye
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sonacos 32 / 100
Guediawaye 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sonacos Guediawaye

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guediawaye has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sonacos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Guediawaye lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sonacos VS Guediawaye
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sonacos

(Home)
04 Jun
Ouakam
2 : 1
Sonacos
22 May
Sonacos
0 : 0
ASC HLM
17 May
AS Camberene
1 : 1
Sonacos
13 May
Sonacos
0 : 3
Casa
10 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Sonacos
Page 1 of 6

Guediawaye

(Away)
04 Jun
Guediawaye
0 : 1
Teungueth
22 May
Mbour
0 : 2
Guediawaye
17 May
Guediawaye
2 : 3
Wally Daan
13 May
AJEL
1 : 0
Guediawaye
10 May
Guediawaye
1 : 1
Ouakam
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)