Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs FC 08 Homburg

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, Aspach
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Aidonis A.
60' Event
Mendler M.
62' Event
Heilig M.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 game between Sonnenhof Grossaspach and FC 08 Homburg finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC 08 Homburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
6%
Draws
4%
FC 08 Homburg
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sonnenhof Grossaspach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sonnenhof Grossaspach carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sonnenhof Grossaspach's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Sonnenhof Grossaspach Clean Sheet 19%
FC 08 Homburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sonnenhof Grossaspach FC 08 Homburg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 17
Draws 3 4
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs FC 08 Homburg
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
FC 08 Homburg vs Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1:1
Feb 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs FC 08 Homburg
0:3
Apr 16, 2022 Regionalliga Sudwest
FC 08 Homburg vs Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1:0
Oct 27, 2021 Regionalliga Sudwest
Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs FC 08 Homburg
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sonnenhof Grossaspach Compare

Top Goalscorer Aidonis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

FC 08 Homburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendler M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Heilig M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sonnenhof Grossaspach 85 / 100
FC 08 Homburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sonnenhof Grossaspach FC 08 Homburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sonnenhof Grossaspach scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Sonnenhof Grossaspach stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

FC 08 Homburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sonnenhof Grossaspach VS FC 08 Homburg
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sonnenhof Grossaspach

(Home)
21 Jul
Aalen
2 : 2
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
18 Jul
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
2 : 0
Hoffenheim II
11 Jul
Bietigheim-Bissingen
0 : 7
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
08 Jul
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
2 : 0
1. CfR Pforzheim
04 Jul
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
2 : 2
Freiberg
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FC 08 Homburg

(Away)
22 Jul
Ravensburg
2 : 3
FC 08 Homburg
17 Jul
FC 08 Homburg
1 : 0
Pirmasens
14 Jul
Darmstadt
5 : 1
FC 08 Homburg
09 Jul
Wehen
1 : 0
FC 08 Homburg
08 Jul
Karlsruher II
2 : 1
FC 08 Homburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sonnenhof Grossaspach34208686:4368
2Freiberg34188868:3862
3FSV Frankfurt34169964:4857
4FC 08 Homburg341511871:4256
5TSV Steinbach Haiger341681078:5856
6Kassel341591062:5154
7Stutt. Kickers341731451:4454
8Sandhausen341661253:5654
9Mainz II341411952:4553
10Fulda-Lehnerz3413101151:4449
11Freiburg II341461474:7348
12Astoria Walldorf341381364:6547
13Eintracht Trier341381348:5247
14Kickers Offenbach3411101357:5843
15Alzenau34762145:7427
16Schott Mainz34742340:8325
17Balingen34672138:8725
18Bahlinger344102034:7522
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)