Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Ingolstadt - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

3. Liga WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, Aspach
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ugondu O.
Assist: Carlsen F.
21'
Bennetts K.
46'
Sub
Deichmann Y. In: Plath M.
Out: Deichmann Y.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Liga game between Sonnenhof Grossaspach and Ingolstadt finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ingolstadt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
30%
Draws
35%
Ingolstadt
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sonnenhof Grossaspach come out ahead of Ingolstadt on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ingolstadt have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sonnenhof Grossaspach Clean Sheet 20%
Ingolstadt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sonnenhof Grossaspach Ingolstadt
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.86 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 3. Liga
Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Ingolstadt
0:2
Jun 7, 2020 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1:1
Oct 5, 2019 3. Liga
Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Ingolstadt
1:5
Jan 10, 2016 Club Friendly
Ingolstadt vs Sonnenhof Grossaspach
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sonnenhof Grossaspach Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Ingolstadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Ugondu O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sonnenhof Grossaspach 31 / 100
Ingolstadt 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sonnenhof Grossaspach Ingolstadt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sonnenhof Grossaspach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sonnenhof Grossaspach found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Ingolstadt's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Solid form: Sonnenhof Grossaspach remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sonnenhof Grossaspach VS Ingolstadt
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sonnenhof Grossaspach

(Home)
10 Oct
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1 : 5
Mannheim
02 Oct
Kaiserslautern
1 : 1
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
19 Sept
Saarbrucken
2 : 1
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
15 Sept
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1 : 1
Verl
12 Sept
TSV Havelse
2 : 2
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Page 1 of 6

Ingolstadt

(Away)
02 Oct
Nurnberg
3 : 1
Ingolstadt
19 Sept
FC Viktoria Koln
3 : 0
Ingolstadt
16 Sept
Ingolstadt
1 : 2
Hoffenheim II
12 Sept
Saarbrucken
0 : 1
Ingolstadt
04 Sept
Ingolstadt
0 : 3
Alemannia Aachen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duisburg 8 7 0 1 22:9 21
2 FC Viktoria Koln 7 5 0 2 19:9 15
3 RW Essen 8 4 3 1 16:12 15
4 Hansa Rostock 8 4 3 1 17:15 15
5 Saarbrucken 8 4 2 2 19:12 14
6 Mannheim 8 4 1 3 16:11 13
7 Hoffenheim II 8 4 1 3 16:11 13
8 Preussen Munster 8 3 3 2 15:16 12
9 Alemannia Aachen 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
10 Fortuna Koln 8 2 4 2 8:8 10
11 Dusseldorf 7 3 1 3 6:7 10
12 Verl 7 3 1 3 10:13 10
13 Regensburg 8 2 2 4 18:17 8
14 VfB Stuttgart II 8 2 2 4 13:16 8
15 Ingolstadt 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
16 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 8 2 2 4 7:14 8
17 Wurzburger Kickers 8 2 1 5 11:17 7
18 Meppen 8 2 1 5 9:16 7
19 Wehen 7 1 2 4 5:13 5
20 TSV Havelse 8 1 1 6 10:20 4
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)