Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sonsbeck vs TVD Velbert

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Kapenda J.
83' Event
Taguchi K.

AI Match Summary

TVD Velbert in this Oberliga Niederrhein 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored TVD Velbert.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Sonsbeck
35%
Draws
19%
TVD Velbert
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sonsbeck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Sonsbeck have won more games recently than TVD Velbert.
  • Model gives Sonsbeck a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Niederrhein 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sonsbeck Clean Sheet 20%
TVD Velbert Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sonsbeck TVD Velbert
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.39 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.45 3.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
Sonsbeck vs TVD Velbert
0:2
Oct 20, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs Sonsbeck
0:2
May 1, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
Sonsbeck vs TVD Velbert
7:1
Nov 5, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs Sonsbeck
3:3
May 21, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs Sonsbeck
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sonsbeck Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

TVD Velbert Compare

Top Goalscorer Kapenda J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taguchi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sonsbeck 85 / 100
TVD Velbert 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sonsbeck TVD Velbert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sonsbeck Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TVD Velbert has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Sonsbeck stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Sonsbeck found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Sonsbeck VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sonsbeck

(Home)
13 Sept
Sonsbeck
0 : 0
Meerbusch
06 Sept
Sonsbeck
4 : 2
SSVg Velbert
30 Aug
SW Essen
1 : 1
Sonsbeck
23 Aug
Sonsbeck
1 : 1
Scherpenberg
15 Aug
Baumberg
1 : 1
Sonsbeck
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TVD Velbert

(Away)
01 Jun
TVD Velbert
2 : 5
FC Monheim
25 May
Kleve
2 : 0
TVD Velbert
18 May
TVD Velbert
0 : 8
SC St.Tonis
09 May
Germania Ratingen
1 : 3
TVD Velbert
04 May
TVD Velbert
1 : 5
Meerbusch
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SSVg Velbert 34 22 8 4 82:31 74
2 Schonnebeck 34 22 6 6 108:39 72
3 SW Essen 34 21 6 7 74:42 69
4 SC St.Tonis 34 21 5 8 95:45 68
5 Homberg 34 19 5 10 67:46 62
6 Hilden 34 17 9 8 65:43 60
7 Buderich 34 16 5 13 79:74 53
8 Sonsbeck 34 13 6 15 52:63 45
9 Germania Ratingen 34 13 5 16 48:54 44
10 Meerbusch 34 11 10 13 63:63 43
11 SV Biemenhorst 34 12 6 16 50:75 42
12 FC Monheim 34 10 8 16 55:64 38
13 Kleve 34 8 13 13 45:53 37
14 Baumberg 34 9 8 17 47:72 35
15 Union Nettetal 34 8 6 20 44:73 30
16 SF Niederwenigern 34 6 11 17 43:70 29
17 Mulheimer FC 97 34 7 7 20 45:88 28
18 TVD Velbert 34 6 6 22 41:108 24
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2025/2026 (Main)