Sport Picks
Sonthofen vs SV Erlbach Prediction & H2H Stats
Germany
Oberliga Bayern Süd 2024/2025 
Match Events
21'
21'
Hager S.
36'
36'
Youssef M.
52'
52'
Lutz F.
AI Match Summary
Sonthofen in this Oberliga Bayern Süd 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sonthofen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SV Erlbach
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Sonthofen haven't matched SV Erlbach's recent run of results.
- 65% — that's where the model lands on SV Erlbach taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and SV Erlbach have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Sonthofen Clean Sheet 20%
SV Erlbach Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sonthofen | SV Erlbach |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Sonthofen vs SV Erlbach
3:1
Sep 27, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Sonthofen
1:0
Nov 12, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Sonthofen
2:0
Jul 28, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Sonthofen vs SV Erlbach
1:2
Apr 3, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Sonthofen
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sonthofen Compare
Top Goalscorer Youssef M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lutz F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
SV Erlbach Compare
Top Goalscorer Hager S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sonthofen 10 / 100
SV Erlbach 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sonthofen SV Erlbach
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SV Erlbach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Sonthofen scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.
SV Erlbach's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.
Sonthofen went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS SV Erlbach
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sonthofen
(Home) 02 Jul
Illertissen
2 : 0 Sonthofen
24 May
Sonthofen
1 : 0 TSV Schwabmunchen
21 May
TSV Schwabmunchen
2 : 0 Sonthofen
17 May
Sonthofen
0 : 4 Deisenhofen
03 May
Sonthofen
0 : 1 Memmingen
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Sonthofen
1 : 0 TSV Schwabmunchen
17 May
Sonthofen
0 : 4 Deisenhofen
03 May
Sonthofen
0 : 1 Memmingen
19 Apr
Sonthofen
3 : 1 SV Erlbach
05 Apr
Sonthofen
3 : 2 Ismaning
Page 1 of 3
SV Erlbach
(Away) 25 Sept
SV Erlbach
1 : 1 Pipinsried
18 Sept
Munich 1860 II
0 : 1 SV Erlbach
11 Sept
SV Erlbach
3 : 0 Kottern-St. Mang
04 Sept
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
1 : 0 SV Erlbach
28 Aug
SV Erlbach
2 : 0 Ismaning
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Munich 1860 II
0 : 1 SV Erlbach
04 Sept
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
1 : 0 SV Erlbach
23 Aug
FC Schwaig
0 : 0 SV Erlbach
18 Aug
Kirchanschoring
0 : 1 SV Erlbach
07 Aug
TSV 1880 Wasserburg
2 : 2 SV Erlbach
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Memmingen | 32 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 49:21 | 63 |
| 2 | Munich 1860 II | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 64:30 | 62 |
| 3 | SV Erlbach | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 33:21 | 58 |
| 4 | Pipinsried | 32 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 63:39 | 58 |
| 5 | Deisenhofen | 32 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 56:45 | 56 |
| 6 | Kottern-St. Mang | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 57:50 | 54 |
| 7 | Kirchanschoring | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 57:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Landsberg | 32 | 14 | 2 | 16 | 64:41 | 44 |
| 9 | Schalding | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | 44 |
| 10 | Heimstetten | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 78:70 | 41 |
| 11 | Nordlingen | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 53:56 | 41 |
| 12 | Turkspor Augsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37:59 | 37 |
| 13 | Ismaning | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35:51 | 35 |
| 14 | TSV Grunwald | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 54:78 | 33 |
| 15 | Sonthofen | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 39:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Unterhaching II | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 32:61 | 31 |
| 17 | Rain/Lech | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 39:76 | 20 |
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 (Relegation)
