Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sonthofen vs TSV Grunwald

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Notz M.
30' Event
Bechter A.
56'
Brandl L.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd 2024/2025 game between Sonthofen and TSV Grunwald finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sonthofen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Sonthofen
15%
Draws
42%
TSV Grunwald
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sonthofen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sonthofen come out ahead of TSV Grunwald on wins alone.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sonthofen Clean Sheet 12%
TSV Grunwald Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sonthofen TSV Grunwald
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Sonthofen vs TSV Grunwald
3:1
Aug 30, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
TSV Grunwald vs Sonthofen
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sonthofen Compare

Top Goalscorer Notz M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bechter A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

TSV Grunwald Compare

Top Goalscorer Leugner D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sonthofen 29 / 100
TSV Grunwald 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sonthofen TSV Grunwald

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sonthofen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSV Grunwald has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Difficult form: TSV Grunwald registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Sonthofen scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Sonthofen VS TSV Grunwald
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sonthofen

(Home)
02 Jul
Illertissen
2 : 0
Sonthofen
24 May
Sonthofen
1 : 0
TSV Schwabmunchen
21 May
TSV Schwabmunchen
2 : 0
Sonthofen
17 May
Sonthofen
0 : 4
Deisenhofen
03 May
Sonthofen
0 : 1
Memmingen
Page 1 of 6

TSV Grunwald

(Away)
24 May
TSV Grunwald
0 : 2
Geretsried
21 May
Geretsried
4 : 0
TSV Grunwald
17 May
TSV Grunwald
5 : 1
Ismaning
09 May
Heimstetten
5 : 1
TSV Grunwald
02 May
TSV Grunwald
0 : 6
Landsberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Memmingen 32 17 12 3 49:21 63
2 Munich 1860 II 32 18 8 6 64:30 62
3 SV Erlbach 32 16 10 6 33:21 58
4 Pipinsried 32 18 4 10 63:39 58
5 Deisenhofen 32 17 5 10 56:45 56
6 Kottern-St. Mang 32 16 6 10 57:50 54
7 Kirchanschoring 32 15 7 10 57:46 52
8 Landsberg 32 14 2 16 64:41 44
9 Schalding 32 12 8 12 41:47 44
10 Heimstetten 32 12 5 15 78:70 41
11 Nordlingen 32 12 5 15 53:56 41
12 Turkspor Augsburg 32 10 7 15 37:59 37
13 Ismaning 32 9 8 15 35:51 35
14 TSV Grunwald 32 9 6 17 54:78 33
15 Sonthofen 32 9 5 18 39:60 32
16 Unterhaching II 32 8 7 17 32:61 31
17 Rain/Lech 32 5 5 22 39:76 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 (Relegation)