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Sopoti Librazhd vs Kastrioti

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sopoti Librazhd host Kastrioti in the Kategoria e Parë. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Kastrioti have shipped 1.86 goals a game lately, while Sopoti Librazhd have conceded 2.07 and scored 0.93. Head-to-head, Sopoti Librazhd have won 0 to Kastrioti's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 4, 2009, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.38 - 0.88) back Kastrioti to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sopoti Librazhd
20%
Draws
29%
Kastrioti
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sopoti Librazhd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Kastrioti have won more games recently than Sopoti Librazhd.
  • Win probability leans Sopoti Librazhd's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kastrioti here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sopoti Librazhd Clean Sheet 20%
Kastrioti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sopoti Librazhd Kastrioti
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 11
Draws 9 3
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.93 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2009 Albanian Cup
Kastrioti vs Sopoti Librazhd
4:1
Oct 21, 2009 Albanian Cup
Sopoti Librazhd vs Kastrioti
0:4
Feb 14, 2009 Kategoria e Parë
Sopoti Librazhd vs Kastrioti
0:1
Sep 13, 2008 Kategoria e Parë
Kastrioti vs Sopoti Librazhd
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sopoti Librazhd 49 / 100
Kastrioti 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sopoti Librazhd Kastrioti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sopoti Librazhd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kastrioti has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Sopoti Librazhd found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sopoti Librazhd stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sopoti Librazhd VS Kastrioti
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sopoti Librazhd

(Home)
05 Sept
Bylis
1 : 1
Sopoti Librazhd
09 May
AF Luftetari
1 : 2
Sopoti Librazhd
19 Nov
Vora
2 : 1
Sopoti Librazhd
15 Oct
Erzeni Shijak
0 : 2
Sopoti Librazhd
16 Oct
Burreli
4 : 0
Sopoti Librazhd
Page 1 of 6

Kastrioti

(Away)
06 Sept
Burreli
2 : 2
Kastrioti
07 May
Pogradeci
3 : 0
Kastrioti
03 May
Lushnja
1 : 4
Kastrioti
25 Apr
Kastrioti
1 : 2
AF Luftetari
19 Apr
Skenderbeu Korca
4 : 0
Kastrioti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kukesi 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Korabi Peshkopi 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Besa Kavaje 1 0 1 0 3:3 1
4 Flamurtari 1 0 1 0 3:3 1
5 Kastrioti 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
6 Burreli 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
7 Bylis 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Sopoti Librazhd 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Iliria Kruja 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Pogradeci 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 KF Oriku 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
12 Beselidhja Lezha 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Relegation)