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Sorrento vs Altamura Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, Potenza
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Match Events

3'
Mogentale T.
20' Event
D'Ursi E.
(Penalty)
27'
Esposito M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Sorrento and Altamura finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sorrento.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Sorrento
15%
Draws
21%
Altamura
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sorrento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Sorrento carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sorrento's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Sorrento Clean Sheet 68%
Altamura Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sorrento Altamura
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.03 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Altamura
2:0
Nov 29, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Altamura vs Sorrento
1:2
Jan 10, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Altamura vs Sorrento
1:1
Sep 8, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Altamura
2:1
Apr 10, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Altamura vs Sorrento
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sorrento Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Ursi E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Altamura Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sorrento 95 / 100
Altamura 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sorrento Altamura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sorrento Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sorrento scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Altamura let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Sorrento went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sorrento VS Altamura
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sorrento

(Home)
27 Sept
Foggia
2 : 0
Sorrento
19 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 2
Bari
15 Sept
Cavese
2 : 3
Sorrento
12 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0
Picerno
05 Sept
Giugliano
0 : 2
Sorrento
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Altamura

(Away)
27 Sept
Scafatese
2 : 0
Altamura
19 Sept
Altamura
2 : 1
Picerno
15 Sept
Casertana
1 : 0
Altamura
11 Sept
Altamura
0 : 3
Bari
06 Sept
Altamura
0 : 2
A.C. Savoia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)