Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sorrento vs Bayswater

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Percy Doyle Reserve
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Jovanovic A.
81' Event
Teece C.
90' Event
Jackson C.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Western Australia game between Sorrento and Bayswater finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayswater.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sorrento
6%
Draws
90%
Bayswater
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bayswater

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sorrento haven't matched Bayswater's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bayswater's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Sorrento Clean Sheet 10%
Bayswater Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sorrento Bayswater
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 16
Draws 3 7
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.13 2.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Sorrento vs Bayswater
1:2
Jun 14, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Sorrento vs Bayswater
2:4
Mar 14, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Bayswater vs Sorrento
2:1
Jun 10, 2023 NPL Western Australia
Sorrento vs Bayswater
5:2
Mar 17, 2023 NPL Western Australia
Bayswater vs Sorrento
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sorrento Compare

Top Goalscorer Jovanovic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bayswater Compare

Top Goalscorer Teece C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jackson C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sorrento 10 / 100
Bayswater 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sorrento Bayswater

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sorrento scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Bayswater's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Sorrento remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sorrento VS Bayswater
1.13 Goals Scored 2.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Perth RedStar18114329:2337
2Olympic Kingsway18113440:2536
3Bayswater17104342:2334
4Fremantle City1987438:2731
5Perth Azzurri1887343:3431
6Stirling Macedonia1872932:2923
7Western Knights1865734:3323
8Dianella White Eagle1855828:3420
9Sorrento18621018:3120
10Armadale18441033:4716
11Perth Glory U2318351030:3814
12Balcatta18421226:4914