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Sorrento vs Casarano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio, Picerno
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Bolzan A.
Assist: Capezzi L.
47'
Giraudo F.
55'
Sub
Logoluso G. In: N’Diaye A.
Out: Logoluso G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C game between Sorrento and Casarano finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sorrento.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Sorrento
15%
Draws
37%
Casarano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sorrento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Casarano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Sorrento Clean Sheet 68%
Casarano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sorrento Casarano
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 13 14
Draws 3 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Casarano
2:0
Feb 7, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Casarano vs Sorrento
2:0
Sep 24, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Casarano
3:3
Apr 3, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Sorrento vs Casarano
3:0
Nov 21, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Casarano vs Sorrento
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sorrento Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolzan A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Loreto C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Casarano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sorrento 41 / 100
Casarano 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sorrento Casarano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sorrento Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sorrento's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Casarano conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Sorrento remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sorrento VS Casarano
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sorrento

(Home)
03 Oct
Sorrento
2 : 0
Casarano
27 Sept
Foggia
2 : 0
Sorrento
19 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 2
Bari
15 Sept
Cavese
2 : 3
Sorrento
12 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0
Picerno
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Casarano

(Away)
03 Oct
Sorrento
2 : 0
Casarano
27 Sept
Casarano
0 : 1
Monopoli
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Casarano
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0
Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1
Barletta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 8 6 1 1 21:11 19
2 Sorrento 8 6 0 2 12:7 18
3 Bari 8 5 1 2 11:6 16
4 Catania 8 4 1 3 14:10 13
5 Salernitana 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
6 Monopoli 8 3 3 2 6:4 12
7 Picerno 8 4 0 4 16:15 12
8 Casertana 8 3 3 2 12:12 12
9 Audace Cerignola 8 3 2 3 11:7 11
10 Foggia 8 3 2 3 8:7 11
11 Cavese 8 3 2 3 14:14 11
12 Scafatese 7 2 4 1 10:9 10
13 Inter U23 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
14 Casarano 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
15 Altamura 8 2 2 4 4:10 8
16 A.C. Savoia 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
17 Barletta 8 1 4 3 11:14 7
18 Giugliano 7 2 1 4 12:16 7
19 Cosenza 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
20 Crotone 8 1 3 4 8:12 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)