Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Maggio M.
19'
19'
Ricci F.
62'
62'
Piovanello E.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
30%
28%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sorrento
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Sorrento have won more games recently than Crotone.
- Sorrento are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Sorrento Clean Sheet 68%
Crotone Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sorrento | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Crotone
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Crotone
2:2
Nov 25, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Sorrento vs Crotone
1:3
Nov 15, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Sorrento
3:1
Feb 1, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Crotone
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sorrento Compare
Top Goalscorer Ricci F.
1 Goals Assists Leader D'Ursi E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Crotone Compare
Top Goalscorer Maggio M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sorrento 50 / 100
Crotone 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sorrento Crotone
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sorrento Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Crotone conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Sorrento's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Sorrento stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sorrento VS Crotone
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sorrento
(Home) 27 Sept
Foggia
2 : 0 Sorrento
19 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 2 Bari
15 Sept
Cavese
2 : 3 Sorrento
12 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0 Picerno
05 Sept
Giugliano
0 : 2 Sorrento
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 2 Bari
12 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0 Picerno
02 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0 Cosenza
29 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0 Crotone
19 Apr
Sorrento
1 : 1 Atalanta U23
Page 1 of 3
Crotone
(Away) 26 Sept
Crotone
2 : 1 Salernitana
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2 Crotone
15 Sept
Crotone
0 : 2 Inter U23
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Crotone
05 Sept
Crotone
2 : 2 Barletta
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2 Crotone
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Crotone
29 Aug
Sorrento
1 : 0 Crotone
06 May
Casertana
1 : 1 Crotone
19 Apr
Casarano
1 : 2 Crotone
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benevento | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 74:28 | 82 |
| 2 | Catania | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54:25 | 70 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:42 | 69 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 58:40 | 67 |
| 5 | Casertana | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 55:44 | 66 |
| 6 | Crotone | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 59:40 | 61 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 39:41 | 56 |
| 8 | Casarano | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 56:57 | 56 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:54 | 54 |
| 10 | Potenza | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 54:56 | 49 |
| 11 | Atalanta U23 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 53:50 | 45 |
| 12 | Altamura | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 32:49 | 45 |
| 13 | Latina | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 35:44 | 42 |
| 14 | Cavese | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 15 | Picerno | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 43:55 | 40 |
| 16 | Sorrento | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 39:55 | 39 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 18 | Foggia | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28:60 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 48:57 | 26 |
| 20 | Trapani | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:54 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
