Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Maggio M.
19'
19'
Ricci F.
62'
62'
Piovanello E.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Crotone have won more games recently than Sorrento.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Sorrento Clean Sheet 11%
Crotone Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sorrento | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Crotone
2:2
Nov 25, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Sorrento vs Crotone
1:3
Nov 15, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Sorrento
3:1
Feb 1, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Crotone
2:1
Sep 25, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Sorrento
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sorrento Compare
Top Goalscorer Ricci F.
1 Goals Assists Leader D'Ursi E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Crotone Compare
Top Goalscorer Maggio M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sorrento 30 / 100
Crotone 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sorrento Crotone
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Sorrento found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
Crotone's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.
Recent resilience: Sorrento stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sorrento VS Crotone
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sorrento
(Home) 26 Apr
Picerno
0 : 0 Sorrento
19 Apr
Sorrento
1 : 1 Atalanta U23
12 Apr
Potenza
3 : 0 Sorrento
06 Apr
Sorrento
2 : 0 Altamura
30 Mar
Casertana
2 : 0 Sorrento
Page 1 of 6
19 Apr
Sorrento
1 : 1 Atalanta U23
06 Apr
Sorrento
2 : 0 Altamura
22 Mar
Sorrento
2 : 2 Crotone
08 Mar
Sorrento
0 : 2 Benevento
22 Feb
Sorrento
2 : 0 Siracusa
Page 1 of 4
Crotone
(Away) 06 May
Casertana
1 : 1 Crotone
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1 Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Crotone
2 : 5 Latina
19 Apr
Casarano
1 : 2 Crotone
13 Apr
Crotone
2 : 0 Catania
Page 1 of 7
06 May
Casertana
1 : 1 Crotone
19 Apr
Casarano
1 : 2 Crotone
06 Apr
Giugliano
1 : 0 Crotone
22 Mar
Sorrento
2 : 2 Crotone
08 Mar
Trapani
1 : 4 Crotone
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benevento | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 74:28 | 82 |
| 2 | Catania | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54:25 | 70 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:42 | 69 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 58:40 | 67 |
| 5 | Casertana | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 55:44 | 66 |
| 6 | Crotone | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 59:40 | 61 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 39:41 | 56 |
| 8 | Casarano | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 56:57 | 56 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:54 | 54 |
| 10 | Potenza | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 54:56 | 49 |
| 11 | Atalanta U23 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 53:50 | 45 |
| 12 | Altamura | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 32:49 | 45 |
| 13 | Latina | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 35:44 | 42 |
| 14 | Cavese | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 15 | Picerno | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 43:55 | 40 |
| 16 | Sorrento | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 39:55 | 39 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 18 | Foggia | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28:60 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 48:57 | 26 |
| 20 | Trapani | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:54 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
