Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sorrento vs Foggia

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, Potenza
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Bevilacqua M.
45' Event
Sabbatani A.
60'
Sub
Oliva M. In: Morelli G.
Out: Oliva M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C game between Sorrento and Foggia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sorrento.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sorrento
20%
Draws
38%
Foggia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sorrento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Foggia haven't matched Sorrento's recent run of results.
  • Sorrento are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sorrento Clean Sheet 19%
Foggia Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sorrento Foggia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1 0.38
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Foggia
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Sorrento
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Sorrento
2:1
Oct 27, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Foggia
2:1
Mar 10, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Foggia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sorrento Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabbatani A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shaw K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Foggia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bevilacqua M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sorrento 42 / 100
Foggia 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sorrento Foggia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Foggia conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Sorrento found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Sorrento stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sorrento VS Foggia
1 Goals Scored 0.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sorrento

(Home)
26 Apr
Picerno
0 : 0
Sorrento
19 Apr
Sorrento
1 : 1
Atalanta U23
12 Apr
Potenza
3 : 0
Sorrento
06 Apr
Sorrento
2 : 0
Altamura
30 Mar
Casertana
2 : 0
Sorrento
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Foggia

(Away)
26 Apr
Foggia
1 : 3
Salernitana
19 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 0
Foggia
12 Apr
Foggia
1 : 1
Siracusa
04 Apr
Cosenza
1 : 0
Foggia
29 Mar
Foggia
1 : 0
Trapani
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benevento38257674:2882
2Catania381913654:2570
3Salernitana38209950:4269
4Cosenza381910958:4067
5Casertana381991055:4466
6Crotone381871359:4061
7Monopoli3815111239:4156
8Casarano381681456:5756
9Audace Cerignola3814121250:5454
10Potenza3812131354:5649
11Atalanta U233811121553:5045
12Altamura3811121532:4945
13Latina3810121635:4442
14Cavese389151436:4242
15Picerno389131643:5540
16Sorrento389121739:5539
17Giugliano389101935:5237
18Foggia38692328:6027
19Siracusa389101948:5726
20Trapani3813101547:5424
Promotion - Serie B 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)