Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sorrento vs Taranto

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2024/2025 Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, Potenza
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Guadagni G.
21' Event
Blondett E.
23' Event
Musso A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2024/2025 game between Sorrento and Taranto finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sorrento.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sorrento
15%
Draws
0%
Taranto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sorrento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sorrento come out ahead of Taranto on wins alone.
  • Sorrento are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Sorrento Clean Sheet 17%
Taranto Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sorrento Taranto
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 14 3
Draws 4 1
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.27 0.4
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.95
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Taranto
6:0
Sep 28, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Taranto vs Sorrento
2:2
Mar 17, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Taranto vs Sorrento
0:0
Nov 12, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Taranto
1:0
Mar 6, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Sorrento vs Taranto
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sorrento Compare

Top Goalscorer Guadagni G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Blondett E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Taranto Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sorrento 57 / 100
Taranto 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sorrento Taranto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sorrento Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taranto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 20 matches.

Taranto lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Sorrento scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sorrento VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sorrento

(Home)
19 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 2
Bari
15 Sept
Cavese
2 : 3
Sorrento
12 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0
Picerno
05 Sept
Giugliano
0 : 2
Sorrento
02 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0
Cosenza
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Taranto

(Away)
21 Feb
Picerno
7 : 0
Taranto
14 Feb
Taranto
0 : 3
Foggia
08 Feb
Sorrento
6 : 0
Taranto
03 Feb
Taranto
0 : 6
Casertana
27 Jan
Altamura
5 : 1
Taranto
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avellino 34 22 9 3 61:26 75
2 Audace Cerignola 34 19 10 5 50:32 67
3 Monopoli 34 15 12 7 36:25 57
4 Crotone 34 15 9 10 62:49 54
5 Catania 34 14 12 8 49:34 53
6 Benevento 34 13 13 8 51:34 52
7 Potenza 34 12 13 9 55:52 49
8 Picerno 34 10 18 6 39:27 48
9 Juventus U23 34 12 8 14 44:45 44
10 Giugliano 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
11 Trapani 34 11 8 15 42:42 41
12 Cavese 34 10 11 13 34:39 41
13 Altamura 34 9 10 15 35:47 37
14 Sorrento 34 9 8 17 26:49 35
15 Latina 34 9 7 18 25:56 34
16 Casertana 34 6 14 14 30:38 32
17 Foggia 34 7 10 17 34:51 31
18 ACR Messina 34 6 11 17 29:53 25
19 Turris 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Taranto 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)