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Sorriso EC W vs Várzea Grande EC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense Women
Sorriso EC W Logo

Sorriso EC W

Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Várzea Grande EC W Logo

Várzea Grande EC W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sorriso EC W host Várzea Grande EC W in the Matogrossense Women. Várzea Grande EC W go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Sorriso EC W at 1 goals for, 3.5 against; Várzea Grande EC W at 1.64 for, 1.25 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (0.95 xG vs 1.39) point toward Várzea Grande EC W. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sorriso EC W
25%
Draws
35%
Várzea Grande EC W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Sorriso EC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Várzea Grande EC W lately — more wins on the board than Sorriso EC W.
  • Várzea Grande EC W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Matogrossense Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sorriso EC W Clean Sheet 17%
Várzea Grande EC W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sorriso EC W Várzea Grande EC W
Matches Played 2 28
Wins 0 13
Draws 0 7
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 1 1.64
Goals Conceded 3.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.95 1.39
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sorriso EC W 23 / 100
Várzea Grande EC W 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sorriso EC W Várzea Grande EC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Várzea Grande EC W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sorriso EC W scored in 100% of their last 2 outings.

Várzea Grande EC W let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Difficult form: Várzea Grande EC W registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sorriso EC W VS Várzea Grande EC W
0.4 Goals Scored 1.38
1.4 Goals Conceded 1.5
40% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 75%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sorriso EC W

(Home)
03 Oct
Acao W
5 : 1
Sorriso EC W
26 Sept
Sorriso EC W
1 : 2
Paulistano FC W

Várzea Grande EC W

(Away)
07 Oct
Acao W
1 : 2
Várzea Grande EC W
03 Oct
Várzea Grande EC W
1 : 0
Mixto W
02 May
Várzea Grande EC W
1 : 1
Planalto EC W
29 Apr
Sampaio Correa W
2 : 1
Várzea Grande EC W
25 Apr
Pantanal W
1 : 1
Várzea Grande EC W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Várzea Grande EC W 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
2 Paulistano FC W 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
3 Acao W 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 Mixto W 3 1 0 2 2:2 3
5 Sorriso EC W 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
Promotion - Matogrossense Women (Play Offs)