Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sortland vs Baerum

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Bransdal L.
71' Event
Bransdal L.
(Penalty)
83' Event
Coric K.

AI Match Summary

Baerum in this Division 3 - Group 1 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baerum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sortland
20%
Draws
57%
Baerum
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Baerum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Baerum lately — more wins on the board than Sortland.
  • Win probability leans Baerum's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Sortland Clean Sheet 10%
Baerum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sortland Baerum
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 6 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.21 3
Goals Conceded 3.43 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Sortland vs Baerum
0:4
Apr 6, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Baerum vs Sortland
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sortland Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Baerum Compare

Top Goalscorer Bransdal L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coric K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sortland 10 / 100
Baerum 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sortland Baerum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baerum Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Baerum conceded in 82% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Sortland scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Sortland has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Baerum
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sortland

(Home)
26 Oct
Alta 2
7 : 1
Sortland
18 Oct
Sortland
0 : 4
Harstad
11 Oct
Sortland
1 : 4
Gamle Oslo
04 Oct
Tromso 2
1 : 1
Sortland
27 Sept
Sortland
4 : 1
Skjervoy
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Baerum

(Away)
13 Sept
Lokomotiv Oslo
5 : 2
Baerum
05 Sept
Baerum
1 : 0
Nordstrand
30 Aug
Konnerud
1 : 1
Baerum
22 Aug
Baerum
4 : 0
Mjondalen
15 Aug
Grei
1 : 7
Baerum
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