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Sortland vs Skjervoy

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Zala D.
45' Event
Meloe S.
56' Event
Abelsen M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 2025 game between Sortland and Skjervoy finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sortland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sortland
20%
Draws
51%
Skjervoy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Skjervoy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sortland haven't matched Skjervoy's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Skjervoy have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Sortland Clean Sheet 18%
Skjervoy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sortland Skjervoy
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.21 1.75
Goals Conceded 3.43 2.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Sortland vs Skjervoy
4:1
Apr 27, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Skjervoy vs Sortland
3:2
Oct 13, 2018 Division 3 - Group 6
Sortland vs Skjervoy
1:7
Jun 23, 2018 Division 3 - Group 6
Skjervoy vs Sortland
4:2
Aug 5, 2017 Division 3 - Group 6
Skjervoy vs Sortland
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sortland Compare

Top Goalscorer Meloe S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Abelsen M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Skjervoy Compare

Top Goalscorer Zala D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sortland 32 / 100
Skjervoy 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sortland Skjervoy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skjervoy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skjervoy has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Sortland found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Sortland went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Skjervoy
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sortland

(Home)
26 Oct
Alta 2
7 : 1
Sortland
18 Oct
Sortland
0 : 4
Harstad
11 Oct
Sortland
1 : 4
Gamle Oslo
04 Oct
Tromso 2
1 : 1
Sortland
27 Sept
Sortland
4 : 1
Skjervoy
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Skjervoy

(Away)
13 Sept
Bossekop
1 : 1
Skjervoy
06 Sept
Skjervoy
3 : 1
Kongsvinger 2
15 Aug
Skjervoy
1 : 3
Floya
08 Aug
Harstad
7 : 0
Skjervoy
30 Jul
Ulfstind
1 : 3
Skjervoy
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