Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sotra vs Arendal

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Straume Fotballhall, Straume
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Ree K.
15' Event
Torum D.
22'
Nygaard S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group 1 game between Sotra and Arendal finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sotra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sotra
15%
Draws
49%
Arendal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arendal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sotra come out ahead of Arendal on wins alone.
  • Model gives Arendal a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sotra Clean Sheet 15%
Arendal Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sotra Arendal
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 14 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.66 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Sotra vs Arendal
3:0
May 31, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Arendal vs Sotra
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Sotra vs Arendal
3:1
May 2, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Arendal vs Sotra
1:1
Sep 8, 2024 Division 2 - Group 1
Arendal vs Sotra
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sotra Compare

Top Goalscorer Ree K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torum D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Arendal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sotra 19 / 100
Arendal 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sotra Arendal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arendal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sotra's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Arendal has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Sotra remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sotra VS Arendal
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sotra

(Home)
16 Aug
Sotra
2 : 1
Traeff
08 Aug
Bjarg
1 : 3
Sotra
02 Aug
Sotra
3 : 0
Arendal
25 Jul
Notodden
1 : 0
Sotra
28 Jun
Sotra
1 : 3
Jerv
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Arendal

(Away)
15 Aug
Vidar
1 : 3
Arendal
08 Aug
Arendal
2 : 1
Pors
02 Aug
Sotra
3 : 0
Arendal
25 Jul
Arendal
4 : 0
Vidar
27 Jun
Pors
2 : 4
Arendal
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jerv 16 11 3 2 34:17 36
2 Brattvag 16 10 2 4 32:16 32
3 Mjondalen 16 10 2 4 30:20 32
4 Kvik Halden 16 9 3 4 28:19 30
5 Sotra 16 8 3 5 32:16 27
6 Notodden 16 8 3 5 22:14 27
7 Bjarg 16 8 2 6 27:24 26
8 Traeff 16 7 4 5 29:25 25
9 Arendal 16 5 5 6 23:25 20
10 Pors 16 5 5 6 18:21 20
11 Sandviken 16 4 3 9 23:35 15
12 Lysekloster 16 3 5 8 18:32 14
13 Vidar 16 1 3 12 14:44 6
14 Eik-Tonsberg 16 1 1 14 17:39 4
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
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