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Stadium Background

Sotra vs Bjarg

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Straume Fotballhall, Straume
Sotra Logo

Sotra

1 - 2
FT
Bjarg Logo

Bjarg

Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Aaserud M.
44'
Torum D.
53'
Hopsdal S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bjarg in this Division 2 - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bjarg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Sotra
28%
Draws
50%
Bjarg
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Bjarg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bjarg lately — more wins on the board than Sotra.
  • Model gives Bjarg a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sotra Clean Sheet 15%
Bjarg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sotra Bjarg
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 13 21
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Sotra vs Bjarg
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Bjarg vs Sotra
2:1
Mar 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Sotra vs Bjarg
2:0
Jan 24, 2025 Club Friendly
Sotra vs Bjarg
2:0
Mar 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Sotra vs Bjarg
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sotra Compare

Top Goalscorer Wik S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Bjarg Compare

Top Goalscorer Hopsdal S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sotra 23 / 100
Bjarg 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sotra Bjarg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BJA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sotra scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Bjarg conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Sotra went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sotra VS Bjarg
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sotra

(Home)
02 Aug
Sotra
3 : 0
Arendal
25 Jul
Notodden
1 : 0
Sotra
28 Jun
Sotra
1 : 3
Jerv
20 Jun
Kvik Halden
2 : 1
Sotra
14 Jun
Sotra
0 : 1
Brattvag
Page 1 of 6

Bjarg

(Away)
01 Aug
Lysekloster
0 : 3
Bjarg
25 Jul
Bjarg
0 : 1
Pors
27 Jun
Mjondalen
1 : 0
Bjarg
20 Jun
Bjarg
3 : 1
Vidar
14 Jun
Traeff
2 : 3
Bjarg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jerv 14 10 2 2 28:15 32
2 Kvik Halden 14 8 3 3 27:18 27
3 Brattvag 14 8 2 4 26:15 26
4 Mjondalen 14 8 2 4 27:19 26
5 Bjarg 14 8 1 5 25:20 25
6 Notodden 14 7 3 4 21:11 24
7 Traeff 14 6 4 4 27:23 22
8 Sotra 14 6 3 5 27:14 21
9 Pors 14 5 4 5 16:18 19
10 Arendal 14 3 5 6 18:23 14
11 Sandviken 14 4 2 8 21:32 14
12 Lysekloster 14 3 5 6 17:28 14
13 Vidar 14 1 3 10 13:37 6
14 Eik-Tonsberg 14 1 1 12 16:36 4
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
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