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Sotra vs Notodden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Straume Fotballhall, Straume
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sotra host Notodden in the Division 2 - Group 1. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Sotra have averaged 2.14 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against Notodden's 1.64 scored and 0.96 conceded. Past meetings favor Notodden slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.44, favoring Sotra. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sotra
15%
Draws
34%
Notodden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sotra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sotra come out ahead of Notodden on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sotra Clean Sheet 16%
Notodden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sotra Notodden
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 14
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.14 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Notodden vs Sotra
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Notodden vs Sotra
1:1
Apr 27, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Sotra vs Notodden
1:3
Sep 21, 2024 Division 2 - Group 1
Notodden vs Sotra
0:0
Apr 6, 2024 Division 2 - Group 1
Sotra vs Notodden
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sotra 30 / 100
Notodden 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sotra Notodden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sotra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sotra scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Notodden's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Notodden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sotra VS Notodden
2.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sotra

(Home)
04 Oct
Brattvag
3 : 2
Sotra
26 Sept
Sotra
3 : 2
Pors
19 Sept
Mjondalen
3 : 1
Sotra
16 Sept
Sotra
1 : 2
Sogndal
12 Sept
Sotra
3 : 0
Sandviken
Page 1 of 6

Notodden

(Away)
03 Oct
Notodden
1 : 3
Eik-Tonsberg
26 Sept
Jerv
1 : 0
Notodden
20 Sept
Notodden
4 : 1
Arendal
16 Sept
Notodden
2 : 3
Odds BK
13 Sept
Traeff
1 : 1
Notodden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jerv 22 16 4 2 47:21 52
2 Brattvag 22 14 3 5 47:28 45
3 Bjarg 22 14 2 6 47:28 44
4 Mjondalen 22 14 2 6 43:28 44
5 Sotra 22 12 3 7 47:25 39
6 Notodden 22 10 5 7 31:20 35
7 Kvik Halden 22 10 4 8 34:27 34
8 Traeff 22 8 6 8 36:44 30
9 Pors 22 7 5 10 28:31 26
10 Arendal 22 7 5 10 30:38 26
11 Sandviken 22 7 4 11 33:45 25
12 Lysekloster 22 3 6 13 26:48 15
13 Eik-Tonsberg 22 3 1 18 24:50 10
14 Vidar 22 2 4 16 20:60 10
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