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Sousa vs EC de Patos

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano
Sousa Logo

Sousa

0 - 1
FT
EC de Patos Logo

EC de Patos

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Claudinho
46'
Sub
Yan Philippe In: Matheus Bambu
Out: Yan Philippe
46'
Sub
Mateuzinho In: Zanatelli L. H.
Out: Mateuzinho
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

EC de Patos in this Paraibano matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored EC de Patos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Sousa
15%
Draws
59%
EC de Patos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EC de Patos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • EC de Patos haven't matched Sousa's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Paraibano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Sousa Clean Sheet 20%
EC de Patos Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sousa EC de Patos
Matches Played 43 30
Wins 21 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Paraibano
Sousa vs EC de Patos
0:1
Jan 19, 2025 Paraibano
EC de Patos vs Sousa
1:3
Mar 10, 2019 Paraibano
EC de Patos vs Sousa
2:1
Jan 26, 2019 Paraibano
Sousa vs EC de Patos
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sousa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

EC de Patos Compare

Top Goalscorer Claudinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sousa 32 / 100
EC de Patos 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sousa EC de Patos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC de Patos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sousa's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 43 recent games.

EC de Patos has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Sousa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sousa VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sousa

(Home)
14 Jun
Sousa
0 : 2
America RN
01 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Sousa
23 May
Sousa
0 : 0
Central SC
16 May
ABC
2 : 0
Sousa
10 May
Laguna RN
0 : 1
Sousa
Page 1 of 9

EC de Patos

(Away)
22 Feb
EC de Patos
1 : 0
Campinense
13 Feb
Treze PB
3 : 1
EC de Patos
08 Feb
Confianca PB
1 : 2
EC de Patos
04 Feb
EC de Patos
0 : 1
Pombal
01 Feb
Sousa
0 : 1
EC de Patos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 9 4 4 1 13:7 16
2 Campinense 9 4 3 2 14:9 15
3 Sousa 9 4 3 2 13:8 15
4 Serra Branca 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
5 Nacional PB 9 3 5 1 14:10 14
6 Treze PB 9 4 0 5 11:11 12
7 EC de Patos 9 3 2 4 6:9 11
8 Atletico Cajazeirense 9 3 1 5 6:11 10
9 Confianca PB 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
10 Pombal 9 2 2 5 10:18 8
Promotion - Paraibano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 2027 (Main)