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South Adelaide vs Adelaide Olympic

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Garba A.
90' Event
Weetra W.

AI Match Summary

The SA State League game between South Adelaide and Adelaide Olympic finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Adelaide.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
South Adelaide
17%
Draws
70%
Adelaide Olympic
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Adelaide Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Adelaide Olympic come out ahead of South Adelaide on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Adelaide Olympic taking it.
  • Regular SA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Adelaide Olympic have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
South Adelaide Clean Sheet 10%
Adelaide Olympic Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Adelaide Adelaide Olympic
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 14
Draws 4 3
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 SA State League
South Adelaide vs Adelaide Olympic
2:0
Jun 21, 2025 SA State League
Adelaide Olympic vs South Adelaide
2:1
Mar 21, 2025 SA State League
South Adelaide vs Adelaide Olympic
0:1
Aug 3, 2024 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Olympic vs South Adelaide
1:0
May 10, 2024 NPL South Australia
South Adelaide vs Adelaide Olympic
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Adelaide Compare

Top Goalscorer Garba A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Weetra W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Adelaide Olympic Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Adelaide 14 / 100
Adelaide Olympic 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Adelaide Adelaide Olympic

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adelaide Olympic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

South Adelaide scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Adelaide Olympic lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Adelaide VS Adelaide Olympic
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide Croatia Raiders17111546:2334
2Fulham United18103538:2733
3Adelaide Olympic17101632:2331
4Adelaide Atletico1793533:2430
5Blue Eagles1793531:2530
6Modbury Jets1785431:1629
7Cumberland United1891832:2428
8The Cove FC1774624:2425
9Eastern United1744918:3316
10Adelaide Cobras17511121:3716
11Salisbury United17321219:3911
12South Adelaide17321217:4711