Sport Picks
South Africa U17 vs Zambia U17
Africa
Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023 
Match Events
12'
12'
Mkhawana V.
Assist: Renecke W.
31'
31'
Mkhawana V.
42'
42'
Sub
Mwaliteta O. In: Mbesuma L.
Out: Mwaliteta O.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-2, with South Africa U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Zambia U17
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Zambia U17 come out ahead of South Africa U17 on wins alone.
- 60% — that's where the model lands on Zambia U17 taking it.
- Zambia U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor South Africa U17, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and South Africa U17 have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
South Africa U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Zambia U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | South Africa U17 | Zambia U17 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U17
South Africa U17 vs Zambia U17
3:2
Oct 27, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Zambia U17 vs South Africa U17
0:1
Oct 13, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations U17
South Africa U17 vs Zambia U17
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
South Africa U17 Compare
Top Goalscorer Mkhawana V.
2 Goals Assists Leader Dokunmu M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Zambia U17 Compare
Top Goalscorer Mwanza E.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
South Africa U17 18 / 100
Zambia U17 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
South Africa U17 Zambia U17
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ZAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Zambia U17 let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.
South Africa U17's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.
Solid form: South Africa U17 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
South Africa U17 VS Zambia U17
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
South Africa U17
(Home) 20 May
South Africa U17
1 : 3 Ghana U17
17 May
South Africa U17
0 : 2 Algeria U17
14 May
Senegal U17
1 : 2 South Africa U17
15 Nov
Japan U17
3 : 0 South Africa U17
09 Nov
Italy U17
3 : 1 South Africa U17
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20 May
South Africa U17
1 : 3 Ghana U17
17 May
South Africa U17
0 : 2 Algeria U17
03 Nov
South Africa U17
3 : 1 Bolivia U17
31 Mar
South Africa U17
4 : 3 Egypt U17
06 May
South Africa U17
2 : 3 Nigeria U17
Page 1 of 3
Zambia U17
(Away) 14 Nov
Zambia U17
1 : 3 Mali U17
10 Nov
Zambia U17
1 : 1 Brazil U17
07 Nov
Zambia U17
5 : 2 Honduras U17
04 Nov
Indonesia U17
1 : 3 Zambia U17
10 Apr
Burkina Faso U17
6 : 1 Zambia U17
Page 1 of 7
04 Nov
Indonesia U17
1 : 3 Zambia U17
10 Apr
Burkina Faso U17
6 : 1 Zambia U17
06 Apr
Uganda U17
1 : 2 Zambia U17
31 Mar
Tanzania U17
1 : 4 Zambia U17
22 Feb
Morocco U17
2 : 1 Zambia U17
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Senegal U17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Algeria U17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo U17 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 4 | Somalia U17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | 1 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morocco U17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Nigeria U17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 3 | South Africa U17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 4 | Zambia U17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mali U17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso U17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Cameroon U17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 4 | South Sudan U17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams