Sport Picks
South Africa U23 vs Zambia U23
Africa
Africa Cup of Nations U23 2015 
Match Events
34'
34'
Luchanga C.
46'
46'
Masuku M.
46'
46'
Sub
Zuma D. In: Ntshangase P.
Out: Zuma D.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-2, with South Africa U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and South Africa U23 come out ahead of Zambia U23 on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- South Africa U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor South Africa U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
South Africa U23 Clean Sheet 22%
Zambia U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | South Africa U23 | Zambia U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 17 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 9, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
South Africa U23 vs Zambia U23
0:0
Dec 1, 2015 Africa Cup of Nations U23
South Africa U23 vs Zambia U23
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
South Africa U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Motupa G.
2 Goals Assists Leader Masuku M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Zambia U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Luchanga C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mutale B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
South Africa U23 32 / 100
Zambia U23 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
South Africa U23 Zambia U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ZAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
South Africa U23 scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Zambia U23 conceded in 65% of 17 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
South Africa U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
South Africa U23 VS Zambia U23
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
South Africa U23
(Home) 27 Mar
Congo U23
0 : 0 South Africa U23
23 Mar
South Africa U23
1 : 1 Congo U23
30 Oct
South Africa U23
0 : 0 Togo U23
23 Oct
Togo U23
2 : 2 South Africa U23
13 Jun
Egypt U23
3 : 0 South Africa U23
Page 1 of 6
23 Mar
South Africa U23
1 : 1 Congo U23
30 Oct
South Africa U23
0 : 0 Togo U23
22 Nov
South Africa U23
3 : 2 Ghana U23
09 Nov
South Africa U23
0 : 0 Zambia U23
06 Sept
South Africa U23
5 : 0 Zimbabwe U23
Page 1 of 3
Zambia U23
(Away) 31 Mar
Zimbabwe
1 : 0 Zambia U23
28 Mar
Zambia U23
1 : 0 Malawi
26 Mar
Zambia U23
0 : 0 Egypt U23
22 Mar
Egypt U23
2 : 0 Zambia U23
29 Oct
Zambia U23
1 : 0 Sierra Leone U23
Page 1 of 4
31 Mar
Zimbabwe
1 : 0 Zambia U23
22 Mar
Egypt U23
2 : 0 Zambia U23
22 Oct
Sierra Leone U23
1 : 1 Zambia U23
15 Nov
Ivory Coast U23
1 : 0 Zambia U23
09 Nov
South Africa U23
0 : 0 Zambia U23
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Senegal U23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa U23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Tunisia U23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Zambia U23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | 0 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U23 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U23 2015 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Algeria U23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 5 |
| 2 | Nigeria U23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 5 |
| 3 | Mali U23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Egypt U23 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U23 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U23 2015 (Play Offs)
