Sport Picks

Stadium Background

South Africa vs Comoros

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup Toyota Stadium (Free State), Bloemfontein
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Mohamed I.
Own Goal
14' Event
Radiopane B.
Assist: Moralo G.
28'
Mohamed I.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
South Africa
30%
Draws
31%
Comoros
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: South Africa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and South Africa come out ahead of Comoros on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans South Africa's way, sitting at 42%.
  • South Africa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor South Africa, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and South Africa have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
South Africa Clean Sheet 68%
Comoros Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Africa Comoros
Matches Played 35 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 13 3
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.11 0.96
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2025 COSAFA Cup
South Africa vs Comoros
3:1
Jul 30, 2022 African Nations Championship
South Africa vs Comoros
0:0
Jul 22, 2022 African Nations Championship
Comoros vs South Africa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Africa Compare

Top Goalscorer Radiopane B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sebelebele K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Comoros Compare

Top Goalscorer Madi I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Africa 51 / 100
Comoros 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Africa Comoros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Africa's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Defensive concern: Comoros conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: South Africa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Africa VS Comoros
1.13 Goals Scored 0.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 13%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

South Africa

(Home)
28 Jun
South Africa
0 : 1
Canada
25 Jun
South Africa
1 : 0
South Korea
18 Jun
Czech Republic
1 : 1
South Africa
11 Jun
Mexico
2 : 0
South Africa
06 Jun
Jamaica
1 : 1
South Africa
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Comoros

(Away)
09 Jun
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1
Comoros
06 Jun
Morocco U23
2 : 1
Comoros
31 Mar
Kazakhstan
1 : 0
Comoros
28 Mar
Namibia
1 : 0
Comoros
29 Dec
Comoros
0 : 0
Mali
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Angola 4
Madagascar 1
South Africa 3
Comoros 1
Final
Angola 3
South Africa 0
Madagascar 0
Comoros 1