Sport Picks

Stadium Background

South Africa W vs Madagascar W

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup Women 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

South Africa W in this COSAFA Cup Women 2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored South Africa W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
South Africa W
20%
Draws
38%
Madagascar W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: South Africa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to South Africa W lately — more wins on the board than Madagascar W.
  • Win probability leans South Africa W's way, sitting at 42%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal COSAFA Cup Women 2018 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • South Africa W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
South Africa W Clean Sheet 20%
Madagascar W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Africa W Madagascar W
Matches Played 39 19
Wins 28 7
Draws 3 3
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2023 COSAFA Cup Women
South Africa W vs Madagascar W
3:1
Aug 5, 2019 COSAFA Cup Women
South Africa W vs Madagascar W
3:0
Sep 12, 2018 COSAFA Cup Women
South Africa W vs Madagascar W
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Africa W 42 / 100
Madagascar W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Africa W Madagascar W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Africa W scored in 92% of their last 39 games.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Madagascar W has conceded goals in 63% of their last 19 outings.

South Africa W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

South Africa W VS Madagascar W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Africa W33009:19
2Botswana W31112:14
3Malawi W31022:83
4Madagascar W30121:41
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zambia W33006:09
2Cameroon W320114:26
3Mozambique W31023:123
4Lesotho W30031:100
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uganda W32106:47
2Zimbabwe W32015:26
3Namibia W31114:24
4Eswatini W30034:110