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South Africa W vs Malawi W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Mibe A. In: Magaia H.
Out: Mibe A.
46'
Sub
Mohlakoana K. In: Kgatlana T.
Out: Mohlakoana K.
55'
Sub
Nyandeni N. In: Mthandi N.
Out: Nyandeni N.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2025 game between South Africa W and Malawi W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Africa W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
South Africa W
6%
Draws
4%
Malawi W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: South Africa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Malawi W haven't matched South Africa W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans South Africa W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
South Africa W Clean Sheet 68%
Malawi W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Africa W Malawi W
Matches Played 47 34
Wins 34 18
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 COSAFA Cup Women
South Africa W vs Malawi W
2:0
Apr 8, 2025 Friendly International Women
South Africa W vs Malawi W
2:1
Apr 5, 2025 Friendly International Women
South Africa W vs Malawi W
3:0
Oct 4, 2023 COSAFA Cup Women
South Africa W vs Malawi W
3:4
Oct 7, 2021 COSAFA Cup Women
South Africa W vs Malawi W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Africa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Magaia H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Motau A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Malawi W Compare

Top Goalscorer Chikupira V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Africa W 95 / 100
Malawi W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Africa W Malawi W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Africa W found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (47 games).

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: South Africa W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Malawi W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

South Africa W VS Malawi W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%