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South Africa W vs Mauritius W

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup Women 2022 Madibaz Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

South Africa W play Mauritius W in the COSAFA Cup Women 2022. South Africa W are favorites here. Recently, South Africa W averaged 1.61 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Mauritius W averaged 0.55 goals scored and 4.09 conceded. In past meetings, South Africa W won 1, Mauritius W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 3, 2022 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for South Africa W and 1.13 for Mauritius W. This points to a South Africa W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
South Africa W
15%
Draws
15%
Mauritius W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Africa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • South Africa W picked up more points recently compared to Mauritius W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
South Africa W Clean Sheet 21%
Mauritius W Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Africa W Mauritius W
Matches Played 31 22
Wins 20 4
Draws 3 2
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.61 0.55
Goals Conceded 0.9 4.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2022 COSAFA Cup Women
South Africa W vs Mauritius W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Africa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sam-Sam L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Maseko R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Mauritius W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Africa W 67 / 100
Mauritius W 17 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Africa W Mauritius W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Africa W Win (1)
Secondary Pick South Africa W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.7%
1.61
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

South Africa W attacking → ← attacking Mauritius W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Africa W scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Mauritius W let in goals in 95% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

South Africa W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mauritius W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

63 Points in last 5 14
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1South Africa W32108:17
2Mozambique W31207:25
3Angola W31114:44
4Mauritius W30030:120
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zambia W330011:09
2Namibia W32017:36
3Lesotho W31023:93
4Eswatini W30031:100
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tanzania W32106:17
2Botswana W31207:15
3Malawi W31118:44
4Comoros W30030:150