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South Africa W vs Tanzania W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women Al Medina Stadium, Rabat
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Match Events

37' Event
Msewa D.
Assist: Mwalala Asha R.
39'
Mnunka A.
45'
Katunzi A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
South Africa W
15%
Draws
32%
Tanzania W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Africa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Tanzania W haven't matched South Africa W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans South Africa W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • South Africa W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor South Africa W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
South Africa W Clean Sheet 68%
Tanzania W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Africa W Tanzania W
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 19 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.69 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Women
South Africa W vs Tanzania W
1:2
Jul 11, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Tanzania W vs South Africa W
1:1
Feb 27, 2024 Olympic Games Women
South Africa W vs Tanzania W
1:0
Feb 23, 2024 Olympic Games Women
Tanzania W vs South Africa W
0:3
Aug 31, 2014 Friendly International Women
South Africa W vs Tanzania W
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Africa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbane B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Tanzania W Compare

Top Goalscorer Msewa D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ubamba H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Africa W 86 / 100
Tanzania W 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Africa W Tanzania W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Africa W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Africa W scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

South Africa W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tanzania W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

South Africa W VS Tanzania W
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

South Africa W

(Home)
09 Oct
Madagascar W
0 : 4
South Africa W
13 Aug
South Africa W
2 : 1
Nigeria W
08 Aug
Morocco W
2 : 1
South Africa W
04 Aug
Burkina Faso W
0 : 1
South Africa W
31 Jul
South Africa W
2 : 2
Ivory Coast W
Page 1 of 6

Tanzania W

(Away)
09 Oct
Botswana W
0 : 1
Tanzania W
04 Aug
Tanzania W
1 : 2
Ivory Coast W
31 Jul
Burkina Faso W
2 : 1
Tanzania W
27 Jul
South Africa W
1 : 2
Tanzania W
23 Jul
Nigeria W
2 : 1
Tanzania W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco W 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Algeria W 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Senegal W 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
4 Kenya W 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast W 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 South Africa W 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Burkina Faso W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Tanzania W 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malawi W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
2 Nigeria W 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
3 Zambia W 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
4 Egypt W 3 0 0 3 3:15 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon W 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Ghana W 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Mali W 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Cape Verde W 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)