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Stadium Background

South Africa W vs Zambia W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium, Pretoria
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Sub
Mibe A. In: Sampson M.
Out: Mibe A.
29'
Maluba M.
41'
Makhubela T.

AI Match Summary

South Africa W in this Friendly International Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored South Africa W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
South Africa W
33%
Draws
40%
Zambia W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Zambia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to South Africa W lately — more wins on the board than Zambia W.
  • Win probability leans Zambia W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
South Africa W Clean Sheet 20%
Zambia W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Africa W Zambia W
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 18 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2025 Friendly International Women
South Africa W vs Zambia W
2:0
Nov 2, 2024 COSAFA Cup Women
Zambia W vs South Africa W
1:0
Sep 11, 2022 COSAFA Cup Women
Zambia W vs South Africa W
1:0
Jul 18, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Zambia W vs South Africa W
0:1
Feb 12, 2022 Friendly International Women
Zambia W vs South Africa W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Africa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gamede B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seoposenwe J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Zambia W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Africa W 28 / 100
Zambia W 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Africa W Zambia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Africa W scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Zambia W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

South Africa W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

South Africa W VS Zambia W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

South Africa W

(Home)
27 Jul
South Africa W
1 : 2
Tanzania W
09 Jun
Japan W
0 : 1
South Africa W
06 Jun
Japan W
5 : 0
South Africa W
17 Apr
South Africa W
2 : 0
Algeria W
14 Apr
South Africa W
1 : 0
Algeria W
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Zambia W

(Away)
22 Jul
Algeria W
1 : 0
Zambia W
19 Jul
Algeria W
1 : 1
Zambia W
09 Jun
Zambia W
3 : 0
Zimbabwe W
06 Jun
Zambia W
2 : 1
Kenya W
18 Apr
South Korea W
1 : 1
Zambia W
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