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South Cardiff vs Cessnock City Hornets

Australia Australia

Northern NSW State League
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AI Match Summary

The Northern NSW State League game between South Cardiff and Cessnock City Hornets finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cessnock City Hornets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
South Cardiff
11%
Draws
9%
Cessnock City Hornets
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: South Cardiff

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cessnock City Hornets come out ahead of South Cardiff on wins alone.
  • South Cardiff are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Northern NSW State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
South Cardiff Clean Sheet 15%
Cessnock City Hornets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Cardiff Cessnock City Hornets
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 2 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Northern NSW State League
Cessnock City Hornets vs South Cardiff
0:2
Mar 21, 2026 Northern NSW State League
South Cardiff vs Cessnock City Hornets
0:3
Jun 21, 2025 Northern NSW State League
Cessnock City Hornets vs South Cardiff
1:1
Apr 4, 2025 Northern NSW State League
South Cardiff vs Cessnock City Hornets
1:2
Jul 27, 2024 Northern NSW State League
Cessnock City Hornets vs South Cardiff
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Cardiff 75 / 100
Cessnock City Hornets 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Cardiff Cessnock City Hornets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cessnock City Hornets has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: South Cardiff scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

South Cardiff went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Cardiff VS Cessnock City Hornets
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

South Cardiff

(Home)
26 Jul
South Cardiff
0 : 0
Dudley Redhead United
11 Jul
Singleton Strikers
1 : 0
South Cardiff
04 Jul
South Cardiff
0 : 1
New Lambton
20 Jun
Toronto Awaba Stags
1 : 0
South Cardiff
14 Jun
Cessnock City Hornets
0 : 2
South Cardiff
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Cessnock City Hornets

(Away)
26 Jul
Wallsend Red Devils
7 : 3
Cessnock City Hornets
18 Jul
Cessnock City Hornets
3 : 2
West Wallsend FC
11 Jul
Cessnock City Hornets
2 : 1
Dudley Redhead United
27 Jun
Toronto Awaba Stags
0 : 2
Cessnock City Hornets
20 Jun
Lake Macquarie
5 : 0
Cessnock City Hornets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lake Macquarie15111355:2134
2Wallsend Red Devils15104146:2234
3New Lambton1582535:2626
4Newcastle Croatia1580738:3524
5Dudley Redhead United1564521:2222
6Cessnock City Hornets1662827:3420
7West Wallsend FC1553726:3718
8Singleton Strikers1543817:3515
9Toronto Awaba Stags16411122:4113
10South Cardiff15321011:2511
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Main)
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)