Sport Picks
South Cardiff vs Cessnock City Hornets
Australia
Northern NSW State League 
AI Match Summary
The Northern NSW State League game between South Cardiff and Cessnock City Hornets finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cessnock City Hornets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cessnock City Hornets
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cessnock City Hornets come out ahead of South Cardiff on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Northern NSW State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
South Cardiff Clean Sheet 16%
Cessnock City Hornets Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | South Cardiff | Cessnock City Hornets |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 14, 2026 Northern NSW State League
Cessnock City Hornets vs South Cardiff
0:2
Mar 21, 2026 Northern NSW State League
South Cardiff vs Cessnock City Hornets
0:3
Jun 21, 2025 Northern NSW State League
Cessnock City Hornets vs South Cardiff
1:1
Apr 4, 2025 Northern NSW State League
South Cardiff vs Cessnock City Hornets
1:2
Jul 27, 2024 Northern NSW State League
Cessnock City Hornets vs South Cardiff
4:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
South Cardiff 36 / 100
Cessnock City Hornets 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
South Cardiff Cessnock City Hornets
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cessnock City Hornets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cessnock City Hornets has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.
Attacking prowess: South Cardiff scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
South Cardiff went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
South Cardiff VS Cessnock City Hornets
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
South Cardiff
(Home) 15 Aug
West Wallsend FC
1 : 1 South Cardiff
09 Aug
Lake Macquarie
2 : 2 South Cardiff
02 Aug
South Cardiff
1 : 4 Wallsend Red Devils
26 Jul
South Cardiff
0 : 0 Dudley Redhead United
11 Jul
Singleton Strikers
1 : 0 South Cardiff
Page 1 of 7
02 Aug
South Cardiff
1 : 4 Wallsend Red Devils
26 Jul
South Cardiff
0 : 0 Dudley Redhead United
04 Jul
South Cardiff
0 : 1 New Lambton
10 Jun
South Cardiff
1 : 3 Newcastle Croatia
06 Jun
South Cardiff
2 : 2 West Wallsend FC
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Cessnock City Hornets
(Away) 15 Aug
New Lambton
4 : 3 Cessnock City Hornets
08 Aug
Cessnock City Hornets
1 : 2 Newcastle Croatia
26 Jul
Wallsend Red Devils
7 : 3 Cessnock City Hornets
18 Jul
Cessnock City Hornets
3 : 2 West Wallsend FC
11 Jul
Cessnock City Hornets
2 : 1 Dudley Redhead United
Page 1 of 7
15 Aug
New Lambton
4 : 3 Cessnock City Hornets
26 Jul
Wallsend Red Devils
7 : 3 Cessnock City Hornets
27 Jun
Toronto Awaba Stags
0 : 2 Cessnock City Hornets
20 Jun
Lake Macquarie
5 : 0 Cessnock City Hornets
09 Jun
Singleton Strikers
5 : 1 Cessnock City Hornets
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lake Macquarie | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 64:24 | 41 |
| 2 | Wallsend Red Devils | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 58:26 | 40 |
| 3 | Newcastle Croatia | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 45:37 | 33 |
| 4 | New Lambton | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 41:30 | 32 |
| 5 | Dudley Redhead United | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 6 | Cessnock City Hornets | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 31:40 | 20 |
| 7 | West Wallsend FC | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 27:47 | 19 |
| 8 | Singleton Strikers | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20:42 | 18 |
| 9 | South Cardiff | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 15:32 | 13 |
| 10 | Toronto Awaba Stags | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 23:46 | 13 |
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Main)
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)
