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South Cardiff vs New Lambton

Australia Australia

Northern NSW State League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

South Cardiff play New Lambton in the Northern NSW State League. It looks like a close match. Recently, South Cardiff averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. New Lambton averaged 1.45 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, South Cardiff won 0, New Lambton won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for South Cardiff and 2.38 for New Lambton. This points to a New Lambton double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
South Cardiff
19%
Draws
49%
New Lambton
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: New Lambton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • South Cardiff picked up more points recently compared to New Lambton.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 2.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
South Cardiff Clean Sheet 10%
New Lambton Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Cardiff New Lambton
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Northern NSW State League
South Cardiff vs New Lambton
0:1
Apr 10, 2026 Northern NSW State League
New Lambton vs South Cardiff
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Cardiff 31 / 100
New Lambton 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Cardiff New Lambton

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: New Lambton or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

South Cardiff attacking → ← attacking New Lambton

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Cardiff scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

New Lambton let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

South Cardiff went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

New Lambton lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 30
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lake Macquarie14101350:2031
2Wallsend Red Devils1393137:1730
3New Lambton1372429:1923
4Newcastle Croatia1470733:3321
5Dudley Redhead United1463521:2221
6West Wallsend FC1353524:3218
7Cessnock City Hornets1452721:2517
8Singleton Strikers1443715:3015
9South Cardiff14311011:2510
10Toronto Awaba Stags13301016:349