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South China vs Yuen Long Prediction & H2H Stats

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Senior Shield 2015/2016 Hong Kong Stadium, Hongkong
South China Logo

South China

4 - 0
FT
Yuen Long Logo

Yuen Long

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with South China advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
South China
20%
Draws
36%
Yuen Long
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: South China

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Yuen Long haven't matched South China's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Yuen Long taking it.
  • South China have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor South China, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and South China have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
South China Clean Sheet 17%
Yuen Long Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South China Yuen Long
Matches Played 38 29
Wins 21 6
Draws 4 10
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.66 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2017 Premier League
Yuen Long vs South China
0:1
Dec 4, 2016 Premier League
South China vs Yuen Long
1:0
Feb 20, 2016 Premier League
Yuen Long vs South China
2:2
Feb 16, 2016 Premier League
South China vs Yuen Long
2:1
Oct 4, 2015 Senior Shield
South China vs Yuen Long
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South China 23 / 100
Yuen Long 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South China Yuen Long

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yuen Long Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South China scored in 89% of their last 38 games.

Yuen Long has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: South China remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Yuen Long
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

South China

(Home)
20 May
South China
1 : 6
Eastern AA
14 May
Kitchee
2 : 1
South China
06 May
Yuen Long
0 : 1
South China
30 Apr
South China
1 : 0
Eastern AA
22 Apr
South China
0 : 3
Kitchee
Page 1 of 8

Yuen Long

(Away)
12 Mar
Yuen Long
4 : 5
Pegasus
29 Feb
Tai Po
2 : 2
Yuen Long
15 Feb
Yuen Long
4 : 3
Happy Valley
12 Feb
Yuen Long
1 : 2
Southern District
19 Jan
Happy Valley
1 : 1
Yuen Long
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Wong Tai Sin -
TBD -
Dreams Metro Gallery 1
Southern District 2
Kitchee -
TBD -
TBD -
Pegasus -
Eastern AA -
TBD -
TBD -
Hong Kong Rangers -
South China -
TBD -
TBD -
Yuen Long -
Quarter-finals
Wong Tai Sin 1
Southern District 5
Kitchee 1
Pegasus 0
Eastern AA 2
Hong Kong Rangers 0
South China 4
Yuen Long 0
Semi-finals
Southern District 2
Kitchee 1
Eastern AA 3
South China 2
Final
Southern District 0
Eastern AA 2