Sport Picks

Stadium Background

South Georgia Tormenta vs Charleston

USA USA

USL Cup 2025 Tormenta Stadium, Statesboro, GA
Sat, Jun 28, 2025
3 - 4
11:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Archer L.
Assist: Rodriguez A.
38'
Gray T.
43'
Segbers M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-4, with Charleston advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
South Georgia Tormenta
20%
Draws
47%
Charleston
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Charleston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Charleston carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Charleston are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Charleston arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Charleston, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Charleston have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
South Georgia Tormenta Clean Sheet 11%
Charleston Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Georgia Tormenta Charleston
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 15 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Charleston vs South Georgia Tormenta
0:0
Jun 28, 2025 USL Cup
South Georgia Tormenta vs Charleston
3:4
Apr 15, 2025 US Open Cup
Charleston vs South Georgia Tormenta
4:0
May 8, 2024 US Open Cup
Charleston vs South Georgia Tormenta
3:2
Mar 5, 2023 Club Friendly
Charleston vs South Georgia Tormenta
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Georgia Tormenta Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Cabral
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vivas S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Charleston Compare

Top Goalscorer Archer L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jennings C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Georgia Tormenta 10 / 100
Charleston 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Georgia Tormenta Charleston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charleston Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Georgia Tormenta found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (27 games).

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Charleston conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

South Georgia Tormenta has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

South Georgia Tormenta VS Charleston
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

South Georgia Tormenta

(Home)
17 Mar
South Georgia Tormenta
:
America CFL Spurs
03 Nov
Spokane Velocity
2 : 1
South Georgia Tormenta
25 Oct
South Georgia Tormenta
3 : 0
Texoma FC
18 Oct
Greenville Triumph
1 : 4
South Georgia Tormenta
12 Oct
Spokane Velocity
1 : 1
South Georgia Tormenta
Page 1 of 6

Charleston

(Away)
26 Sept
Charleston
2 : 0
Rhode Island
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0
Monterey Bay
12 Sept
Birmingham Legion
2 : 2
Charleston
02 Sept
Charleston
1 : 2
Hartford Athletic
30 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 2
Charleston
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sacramento Republic 4 3 0 1 6:1 9
2 Las Vegas Lights 4 3 0 1 7:6 9
3 Monterey Bay 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
4 Orange County SC 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
5 AV Alta FC 4 2 0 2 6:6 5
6 Oakland Roots 4 1 0 3 5:7 4
7 Spokane Velocity 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Antonio FC 4 3 0 1 6:3 10
2 New Mexico 4 3 0 1 11:8 8
3 Phoenix Rising 4 3 0 1 12:10 7
4 Colorado Springs 4 2 0 2 7:5 7
5 El Paso Locomotive 4 2 0 2 4:4 6
6 Union Omaha 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
7 Texoma FC 4 0 0 4 5:13 1
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indy Eleven 4 4 0 0 9:2 11
2 Birmingham Legion 4 3 0 1 8:5 10
3 Chattanooga Red Wolves 4 2 0 2 5:8 5
4 FC Tulsa 4 1 0 3 8:8 4
5 Forward Madison 4 1 0 3 3:8 4
6 One Knoxville 4 1 0 3 3:5 2
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rhode Island 4 3 0 1 11:5 10
2 Hartford Athletic 4 3 0 1 10:7 9
3 Detroit City 4 3 0 1 9:6 8
4 Portland Hearts of Pine 4 2 0 2 8:10 5
5 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 4 1 0 3 3:5 4
6 Westchester SC 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
2 Louisville City 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
3 Loudoun United 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
4 North Carolina FC 4 2 0 2 4:4 5
5 Lexington 4 1 0 3 6:6 4
6 Richmond Kickers 4 0 0 4 1:11 0
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Greenville Triumph 4 3 0 1 6:3 9
2 Tampa Bay 4 2 0 2 8:7 7
3 South Georgia Tormenta 4 2 0 2 8:8 7
4 Charleston 4 2 0 2 6:6 5
5 Miami FC 4 2 0 2 8:9 5
6 FC Naples 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)