Sport Picks

Stadium Background

South Hobart U21 vs University of Tasmania

Australia Australia

Tasmania Southern Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tasmania Southern Championship game between South Hobart U21 and University of Tasmania finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Hobart U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
South Hobart U21
15%
Draws
0%
University of Tasmania
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Hobart U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • University of Tasmania haven't matched South Hobart U21's recent run of results.
  • South Hobart U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Southern Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and South Hobart U21 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
South Hobart U21 Clean Sheet 20%
University of Tasmania Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Hobart U21 University of Tasmania
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 22 6
Draws 4 1
Losses 5 23
Goals Scored 4.03 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.65 3.67
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
South Hobart U21 vs University of Tasmania
5:0
May 2, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
University of Tasmania vs South Hobart U21
3:6
Jul 31, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
South Hobart U21 vs University of Tasmania
3:1
May 3, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
University of Tasmania vs South Hobart U21
0:1
Sep 7, 2024 Tasmania Southern Championship
South Hobart U21 vs University of Tasmania
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Hobart U21 85 / 100
University of Tasmania 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Hobart U21 University of Tasmania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Hobart U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Hobart U21 found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: University of Tasmania conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

South Hobart U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Hobart U21 VS University of Tasmania
4.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

South Hobart U21

(Home)
22 Aug
Hobart United
0 : 5
South Hobart U21
09 Aug
South Hobart U21
3 : 3
Hobart City
31 Jul
South Hobart U21
2 : 0
Taroona
18 Jul
South Hobart U21
5 : 0
University of Tasmania
11 Jul
New Town Eagles
0 : 3
South Hobart U21
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University of Tasmania

(Away)
15 Aug
New Town Eagles
4 : 0
University of Tasmania
08 Aug
University of Tasmania
1 : 2
Taroona
31 Jul
Glenorchy Knights U21
3 : 1
University of Tasmania
18 Jul
South Hobart U21
5 : 0
University of Tasmania
04 Jul
Hobart City
5 : 2
University of Tasmania
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Hobart U21 17 12 2 3 77:23 38
2 Olympia Warriors 17 11 2 4 51:26 35
3 New Town Eagles 16 9 5 2 54:17 32
4 Taroona 17 9 3 5 63:24 30
5 Hobart City 16 8 6 2 43:28 30
6 Clarence Zebras U21 16 7 1 8 37:41 22
7 Hobart United 17 4 2 11 34:81 14
8 Glenorchy Knights U21 17 3 2 12 37:79 11
9 University of Tasmania 17 3 1 13 29:62 10
10 South East United U21 6 0 0 6 6:50 0
Promotion - NPL Tasmania 2027 (Main)