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South Hobart vs Clarence Zebras

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Morton N.
73' Event
Kemp K.
80' Event
Ayoul P.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania 2025 game between South Hobart and Clarence Zebras finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Hobart.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
South Hobart
6%
Draws
4%
Clarence Zebras
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: South Hobart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Clarence Zebras haven't matched South Hobart's recent run of results.
  • South Hobart are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NPL Tasmania 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and South Hobart have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
South Hobart Clean Sheet 16%
Clarence Zebras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Hobart Clarence Zebras
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 21 7
Draws 3 4
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 3.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs South Hobart
1:3
Mar 15, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Clarence Zebras
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs South Hobart
2:5
Jun 28, 2025 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Clarence Zebras
3:0
Apr 27, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs South Hobart
0:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Hobart Compare

Top Goalscorer Morton N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kemp K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Clarence Zebras Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Hobart 84 / 100
Clarence Zebras 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Hobart Clarence Zebras

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Hobart scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Clarence Zebras let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

South Hobart went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Hobart VS Clarence Zebras
3.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%