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South Hobart vs Launceston City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Darcy Street, Hobart
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Mensah D.
12' Event
Oates H.
23' Event
Maddock R.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania game between South Hobart and Launceston City finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Hobart.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
South Hobart
15%
Draws
21%
Launceston City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Hobart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • South Hobart carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives South Hobart a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
South Hobart Clean Sheet 17%
Launceston City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Hobart Launceston City
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 25 20
Draws 4 2
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 3.27 3
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Launceston City
3:1
May 9, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Launceston City vs South Hobart
1:8
Aug 9, 2025 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Launceston City
1:3
Jun 14, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Launceston City vs South Hobart
1:2
Apr 6, 2025 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Launceston City
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Hobart Compare

Top Goalscorer Oates H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maddock R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Launceston City Compare

Top Goalscorer Mensah D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Hobart 84 / 100
Launceston City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Hobart Launceston City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Hobart Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Hobart found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (37 games).

Launceston City has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

South Hobart went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Hobart VS Launceston City
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

South Hobart

(Home)
05 Sept
South Hobart
5 : 1
Devonport
29 Aug
South Hobart
4 : 2
Kingborough Lions
23 Aug
South Hobart
0 : 3
Devonport
08 Aug
South Hobart
5 : 2
Riverside Olympic
01 Aug
South Hobart
3 : 1
Launceston City
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Launceston City

(Away)
22 Aug
Kingborough Lions
5 : 0
Launceston City
15 Aug
Launceston City
2 : 1
Clarence Zebras
08 Aug
Devonport
6 : 0
Launceston City
01 Aug
South Hobart
3 : 1
Launceston City
25 Jul
Riverside Olympic
0 : 0
Launceston City
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