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South Hobart vs Riverside Olympic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Darcy Street, Hobart
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Yost A.
20' Event
Pelletier J.
41' Event
Lancaster J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania game between South Hobart and Riverside Olympic finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Hobart.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
South Hobart
15%
Draws
21%
Riverside Olympic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Hobart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and South Hobart come out ahead of Riverside Olympic on wins alone.
  • Model gives South Hobart a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and South Hobart have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
South Hobart Clean Sheet 68%
Riverside Olympic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Hobart Riverside Olympic
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 24 10
Draws 4 3
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 3.22 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Riverside Olympic
5:2
May 23, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Riverside Olympic vs South Hobart
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Riverside Olympic vs South Hobart
0:7
Jul 12, 2025 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Riverside Olympic
2:0
May 3, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Riverside Olympic vs South Hobart
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Hobart Compare

Top Goalscorer Yost A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Williams X.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Riverside Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Pelletier J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Okine C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Hobart 95 / 100
Riverside Olympic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Hobart Riverside Olympic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Hobart Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Hobart's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Riverside Olympic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: South Hobart stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Hobart VS Riverside Olympic
2.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

South Hobart

(Home)
05 Sept
South Hobart
5 : 1
Devonport
29 Aug
South Hobart
4 : 2
Kingborough Lions
23 Aug
South Hobart
0 : 3
Devonport
08 Aug
South Hobart
5 : 2
Riverside Olympic
01 Aug
South Hobart
3 : 1
Launceston City
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Riverside Olympic

(Away)
08 Aug
South Hobart
5 : 2
Riverside Olympic
01 Aug
South East United
3 : 1
Riverside Olympic
25 Jul
Riverside Olympic
0 : 0
Launceston City
18 Jul
Riverside Olympic
2 : 4
Clarence Zebras
10 Jul
Launceston United
0 : 1
Riverside Olympic
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