Sport Picks

Stadium Background

South Island United vs PNG Hekari

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Pro League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

South Island United play PNG Hekari in the OFC Pro League. It looks like a close match. Recently, South Island United averaged 1.61 goals scored and 2 conceded. PNG Hekari averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, South Island United won 2, PNG Hekari won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 14, 2026 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for South Island United and 1.38 for PNG Hekari. This points to a South Island United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
South Island United
19%
Draws
30%
PNG Hekari
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: South Island United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • South Island United picked up more points recently compared to PNG Hekari.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
South Island United Clean Sheet 17%
PNG Hekari Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Island United PNG Hekari
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.61 1.43
Goals Conceded 2 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 OFC Pro League
South Island United vs PNG Hekari
4:1
Feb 7, 2026 OFC Pro League
PNG Hekari vs South Island United
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Island United Compare

Top Goalscorer Boyers R.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

PNG Hekari Compare

Top Goalscorer Naime R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Island United 49 / 100
PNG Hekari 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Island United PNG Hekari

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: South Island United or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

South Island United attacking → ← attacking PNG Hekari

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Island United scored in 78% of their last 18 games.

PNG Hekari let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

South Island United went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

PNG Hekari lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 31
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Auckland FC 214102226:1032
2South Melbourne1474340:1825
3Bula1463514:1521
4South Island United1455424:2620
5Solomon Kings1453614:2118
6Tahiti United1445520:2817
7Vanuatu United1434720:2513
8PNG Hekari14221014:298