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South Island United vs PNG Hekari Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Pro League
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Naime R.
16' Event
Boyers R.
21'
Karaun N.

AI Match Summary

South Island United in this OFC Pro League matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored South Island United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
South Island United
15%
Draws
49%
PNG Hekari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PNG Hekari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • PNG Hekari have won more games recently than South Island United.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular OFC Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
South Island United Clean Sheet 17%
PNG Hekari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Island United PNG Hekari
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.61 1.43
Goals Conceded 2 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 OFC Pro League
South Island United vs PNG Hekari
4:1
Feb 7, 2026 OFC Pro League
PNG Hekari vs South Island United
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Island United Compare

Top Goalscorer Boyers R.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

PNG Hekari Compare

Top Goalscorer Naime R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Island United 30 / 100
PNG Hekari 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Island United PNG Hekari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Island United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: South Island United scored in 78% of their last 18 outings.

Defensive concern: PNG Hekari conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

PNG Hekari lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Island United VS PNG Hekari
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

South Island United

(Home)
20 May
Auckland FC 2
1 : 0
South Island United
12 May
Auckland FC 2
5 : 2
South Island United
09 May
South Melbourne
4 : 2
South Island United
06 May
Bula
0 : 1
South Island United
21 Apr
South Island United
1 : 3
Auckland FC 2
Page 1 of 4

PNG Hekari

(Away)
13 May
Solomon Kings
3 : 0
PNG Hekari
10 May
Tahiti United
2 : 2
PNG Hekari
07 May
Vanuatu United
3 : 1
PNG Hekari
18 Apr
South Melbourne
1 : 2
PNG Hekari
15 Apr
Auckland FC 2
2 : 0
PNG Hekari
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland FC 2 14 10 2 2 26:10 32
2 South Melbourne 14 7 4 3 40:18 25
3 Bula 14 6 3 5 14:15 21
4 South Island United 14 5 5 4 24:26 20
5 Solomon Kings 14 5 3 6 14:21 18
6 Tahiti United 14 4 5 5 20:28 17
7 Vanuatu United 14 3 4 7 20:25 13
8 PNG Hekari 14 2 2 10 14:29 8
Promotion - OFC Pro League (Winners stage)
Relegation - OFC Pro League (Losers stage)