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South Korea U19 vs Bahrain U19

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U19 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

South Korea U19 play Bahrain U19 in the AFC Championship U19 2016. South Korea U19 are favorites here. Recently, South Korea U19 averaged 3.04 goals scored and 0.85 conceded. Bahrain U19 averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. In past meetings, South Korea U19 won 1, Bahrain U19 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 3, 2021 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for South Korea U19 and 0.56 for Bahrain U19. This points to a South Korea U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
South Korea U19
15%
Draws
26%
Bahrain U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Korea U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • South Korea U19 picked up more points recently compared to Bahrain U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 0.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
South Korea U19 Clean Sheet 30%
Bahrain U19 Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Korea U19 Bahrain U19
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 21 9
Draws 2 4
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 3.04 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2021 AFC Championship U19
South Korea U19 vs Bahrain U19
0:0
Oct 16, 2016 AFC Championship U19
South Korea U19 vs Bahrain U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Korea U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cho Young-Wook
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bahrain U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ebrahim S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Korea U19 59 / 100
Bahrain U19 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Korea U19 Bahrain U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Korea U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick South Korea U19 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

South Korea U19 attacking → ← attacking Bahrain U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Korea U19 scored in 96% of their last 27 games.

Bahrain U19 let in goals in 77% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

South Korea U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bahrain U19 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 31
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bahrain U1932017:66
2Saudi Arabia U1932018:46
3South Korea U1932016:46
4Thailand U1930033:100
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Iraq U1932105:07
2Vietnam U1931203:25
3United Arab Emirates U1931114:34
4North Korea U1930032:90
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Japan U1932106:07
2Iran U1931202:15
3Qatar U1931112:44
4Yemen U1930030:50
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Uzbekistan U1932105:37
2Tajikistan U1931113:24
3Australia U1931113:34
4China U1930120:31