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South Korea U19 vs Indonesia U19

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Friendly International 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

South Korea U19 play Indonesia U19 in the Friendly International 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, South Korea U19 averaged 3.04 goals scored and 0.85 conceded. Indonesia U19 averaged 2.39 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. In past meetings, South Korea U19 won 3, Indonesia U19 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 1, 2024 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.16 for South Korea U19 and 2.08 for Indonesia U19. This points to a South Korea U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
South Korea U19
15%
Draws
35%
Indonesia U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Korea U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • South Korea U19 picked up more points recently compared to Indonesia U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.16 vs 2.08 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
South Korea U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Indonesia U19 Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Korea U19 Indonesia U19
Matches Played 27 33
Wins 21 20
Draws 2 3
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 3.04 2.39
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.57 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.29 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2024 Friendly International
South Korea U19 vs Indonesia U19
3:0
Mar 29, 2022 Friendly International
South Korea U19 vs Indonesia U19
5:1
Nov 4, 2017 AFC Championship U19
South Korea U19 vs Indonesia U19
4:0
Oct 12, 2013 AFC Championship U19
South Korea U19 vs Indonesia U19
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Korea U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jung Jong-Hun
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kang Seong-Jin
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.79

Indonesia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferdinan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Korea U19 47 / 100
Indonesia U19 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Korea U19 Indonesia U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: South Korea U19 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

South Korea U19 attacking → ← attacking Indonesia U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Korea U19 scored in 96% of their last 27 games.

Indonesia U19 let in goals in 58% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

South Korea U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Indonesia U19 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 63
1.57 Goals expected (xG) 2.88
1.29 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75