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South Korea U20 W vs Italy U20 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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World Cup Women U20 Arena Sosnowiec, Sosnowiec
South Korea U20 W Logo

South Korea U20 W

1 - 3
FT
Italy U20 W Logo

Italy U20 W

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Appiah K.
Assist: Pellegrino G.
43' Event
Lee Hae-Un
Assist: Han Min-Seo
46'
Sub
Beom Y. In: Park Ju-Ha
Out: Beom Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
South Korea U20 W
20%
Draws
40%
Italy U20 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to South Korea U20 W lately — more wins on the board than Italy U20 W.
  • Italy U20 W are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • South Korea U20 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Italy U20 W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
South Korea U20 W Clean Sheet 10%
Italy U20 W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Korea U20 W Italy U20 W
Matches Played 31 13
Wins 13 5
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.94 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 World Cup Women U20
South Korea U20 W vs Italy U20 W
1:3
Aug 22, 2012 World Cup Women U20
Italy U20 W vs South Korea U20 W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Korea U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Hae-Un
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Italy U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Appiah K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fadda P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Korea U20 W 10 / 100
Italy U20 W 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Korea U20 W Italy U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U20 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U20 W let in goals in 92% of their last 13 matches.

South Korea U20 W scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

South Korea U20 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Korea U20 W VS Italy U20 W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

South Korea U20 W

(Home)
19 Sept
South Korea U20 W
1 : 3
Italy U20 W
16 Sept
Argentina U20 W
0 : 1
South Korea U20 W
12 Sept
South Korea U20 W
3 : 2
Ecuador U20 W
09 Sept
Ghana U20 W
3 : 1
South Korea U20 W
06 Sept
France U20 W
1 : 1
South Korea U20 W
Page 1 of 7

Italy U20 W

(Away)
26 Sept
Italy U20 W
1 : 2
Colombia U20 W
23 Sept
Italy U20 W
0 : 2
Spain U20 W
19 Sept
South Korea U20 W
1 : 3
Italy U20 W
16 Sept
Italy U20 W
2 : 1
China U20 W
12 Sept
Italy U20 W
1 : 1
Japan U20 W
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Argentina U20 W 0
South Korea U20 W 1
Italy U20 W 2
China U20 W 1
Brazil U20 W 2
USA U20 W 1
Spain U20 W 2
Portugal U20 W 0
North Korea U20 W 2
Japan U20 W 0
France U20 W 1
Canada U20 W 3
England U20 W 0
Nigeria U20 W 3
Poland U20 W 0
Colombia U20 W 1
Quarter-finals
South Korea U20 W 1
Italy U20 W 3
Brazil U20 W 0
Spain U20 W 1
North Korea U20 W 2
Canada U20 W 0
Nigeria U20 W 0
Colombia U20 W 1
Semi-finals
Italy U20 W 0
Spain U20 W 2
North Korea U20 W 3
Colombia U20 W 0
Final
Spain U20 W 1
North Korea U20 W 0
Italy U20 W 1
Colombia U20 W 2