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South Korea U21 vs Indonesia U20

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Maurice Revello Tournament 2024
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Match Events

38'
Jo Jin-ho
42'
Firmansyah T.
46'
Sub
Dennis F. In: Jardim W.
Out: Dennis F.

AI Match Summary

The Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 game between South Korea U21 and Indonesia U20 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Korea U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
South Korea U21
28%
Draws
22%
Indonesia U20
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: South Korea U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • South Korea U21 haven't matched Indonesia U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives South Korea U21 a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
South Korea U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Indonesia U20 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Korea U21 Indonesia U20
Matches Played 12 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 3 6
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 0.6 1
Goals Conceded 1.4 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.40 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2024 Maurice Revello Tournament
South Korea U21 vs Indonesia U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Korea U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jung Seung-Bae
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.3

Indonesia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Firmansyah T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Korea U21 59 / 100
Indonesia U20 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Korea U21 Indonesia U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Korea U21 scored in 67% of their last 12 games.

Indonesia U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Indonesia U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

South Korea U21 VS Indonesia U20
0.6 Goals Scored 1
1.4 Goals Conceded 2
60% Over 1.5 88%
40% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

5th place
Mexico U231
Japan U193
Saudi Arabia U231
Panama U232
South Korea U212
Indonesia U201